INTEL / PREDICTIONS / VERIFY

Public Prediction Ledger

HOW TO VERIFY ANY PREDICTION

Linux/Mac: echo -n "MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|T1_ID|T2_ID|P1.6f|P2.6f|WINNER_ID" | sha256sum

Python: import hashlib; hashlib.sha256(b"...").hexdigest()

Windows: [System.Text.Encoding]::UTF8.GetBytes("...") | Get-FileHash -Algorithm SHA256 -InputStream ...

Probabilities are formatted to 6 decimal places. Pipe | separator. No spaces, no newline.

243 total predictions — page 9 of 10 (25 matches per page)

T3 ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC

Jun 05 2026 17:00 match #2395101 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	RUSTEC	52.2%	+4.5%	Jun 04 21:30:06	6bbbd07690a18120…0f50cfc2

T3 SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE

Jun 05 2026 14:00 match #2395100 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	SPARTA	51.5%	+3.0%	Jun 04 21:30:06	ae9bdd342a88d639…b99402ac

T3 Acend vs Ursa

Jun 05 2026 11:00 match #2395099 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Ursa	55.3%	+10.6%	Jun 04 21:30:06	429fd07047e0302d…4c7f8afe

T3 KOLESIE vs Atreides

Jun 05 2026 08:00 match #2395098 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Atreides	51.0%	+2.1%	Jun 04 21:30:06	9fa3393aba072db0…c24177e7

T2 Atreides vs HYPERSPIRIT

Jun 07 2026 11:00 match #2395160 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Atreides	60.8%	+21.5%	Jun 04 19:25:55	535dd55f4bb477c2…38fdfcca

T2 100 Thieves vs Phantom

Jun 05 2026 17:00 match #2394595 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	100 Thieves	51.5%	+3.0%	Jun 04 19:25:55	cb4929a7ea8a27ae…1bd11f3a

T1 NRG vs BIG

Jun 05 2026 17:00 match #2394864 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	NRG	69.6%	+39.3%	Jun 04 19:25:55	3da3971ee9c3ccf7…4038c18b

T1 Liquid vs FlyQuest

Jun 05 2026 14:30 match #2394863 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Liquid	62.2%	+24.4%	Jun 04 19:25:54	bf8c06ba9e04ee0f…c91cab27

T2 Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUBY

Jun 05 2026 14:00 match #2394594 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	ex-RUBY	56.9%	+13.9%	Jun 04 19:25:54	7c4491cff2343929…b2370e6d

T1 TYLOO vs Lynn Vision

Jun 05 2026 12:00 match #2394862 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	TYLOO	60.1%	+20.2%	Jun 04 19:25:54	92daebc540057ea5…dada975f

T2 1win vs Betclic

Jun 05 2026 11:00 match #2394593 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	1win	51.5%	+3.0%	Jun 04 19:25:54	73d6dd18fc874b11…30ce95b0

T2 ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds

Jun 05 2026 08:00 match #2394592 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Johnny Speeds	55.3%	+10.6%	Jun 04 19:25:54	190bf661c6d1064f…32a8c5b3

T3 Ding Cuts vs DXA

Jun 10 2026 08:30 match #2395231 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.629 PHANTOM +0.219 Elo win prob +0.067	Ding Cuts	64.8%	+29.7%	Jun 10 08:30:07	5210e9ea50949fb5…d8c10a2a
·	PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625 Glicko2 rating +0.377 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.330 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.282	Ding Cuts	71.3%	+42.5%	Jun 10 07:30:06	44f719ffee4ceff1…1731d2de
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7180 Elo edge -0.230 CT-side econ -0.194 Map-pool Elo +0.153	DXA	63.0%	+26.1%	Jun 09 22:36:06	3b15b673ce1a5ef3…d14900f7
·	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Ding Cuts	67.3%	+34.7%	Jun 04 18:37:14	f5984e84aaf78f75…eda953c0

T3 Ground Zero vs Masked Regime

Jun 10 2026 08:30 match #2395230 5 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.299 PHANTOM +0.152 Elo win prob +0.038	Masked Regime	52.6%	+5.3%	Jun 10 08:30:07	64f0766423c9b466…29621641
·	PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.345 opening kill rate diff -0.278 team1 elo nuke -0.219	Masked Regime	55.2%	+10.3%	Jun 10 07:30:06	108b674f86c2deb8…5ee1e098
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.257 Map-pool Elo +0.303 Elo edge -0.166	Ground Zero	79.6%	+59.1%	Jun 09 22:36:06	9e27664926f98590…9b8a09d2
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7180 Map-pool Elo +0.303 Elo edge -0.166 Rest days +0.084	Ground Zero	61.8%	+23.6%	Jun 09 22:36:06	96946433dd04d814…6a8a980a
·	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Ground Zero	62.2%	+24.4%	Jun 04 18:37:14	46cfd6c8f4d9a2fd…3cfef581

T2 HYPERSPIRIT vs INOX Division

Jun 08 2026 10:30 match #2394813 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	INOX Division	65.0%	+30.1%	Jun 04 18:37:14	9f90dc9941f3ffe0…45202074

T3 Rooster vs MARKandLARRY

Jun 08 2026 08:30 match #2395226 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Rooster	60.8%	+21.5%	Jun 04 18:37:14	d8c648a6f7c1103e…60b7fa40

T3 Abyssal vs MGLBROS

Jun 08 2026 08:30 match #2395227 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Abyssal	62.2%	+24.4%	Jun 04 18:37:14	2b78e00ac1c7ae65…8eb8fd03

T2 PsychoFace vs brazylijski luz

Jun 08 2026 08:00 match #2394812 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	PsychoFace	51.5%	+3.0%	Jun 04 18:37:14	1130e2be52c7d8fa…0d9604d1

T2 Virtus.pro vs GenOne

Jun 07 2026 10:30 match #2394811 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	Virtus.pro	51.5%	+3.0%	Jun 04 18:37:13	eb7313136e551320…ce334eb5

T2 ENCE vs brazylijski luz

Jun 07 2026 08:00 match #2395159 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	ENCE	60.8%	+21.5%	Jun 04 18:37:13	b6d490c4fccb9e5a…4537fd05

T2 KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats

Jun 07 2026 08:00 match #2394810 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	KOLESIE	51.5%	+3.0%	Jun 04 18:37:13	ddadd67048e4c438…eda44a95

T2 RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas

Jun 06 2026 10:30 match #2394809 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	RUSTEC	51.5%	+3.0%	Jun 04 18:37:13	afe3422180c172d5…69698adf

T2 G2 Ares vs aAa

Jun 06 2026 08:00 match #2394808 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	G2 Ares	69.6%	+39.3%	Jun 04 18:37:13	2d8bd3ec8fd17cd7…861a3330

T3 DONSTU vs COPH9K

Jun 05 2026 17:30 match #2395067 1 model ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	DONSTU	60.1%	+20.2%	Jun 04 18:37:13	51c01feb612032a5…fa7d38f1

T3 XI vs LFO 6

Jun 05 2026 17:30 match #2395063 1 model ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	APEX v3 AUC 0.6575	LFO 6	77.9%	+55.9%	Jun 04 18:37:13	6eff5a94c2ff4c11…17a886ce

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