Abyssal vs MGLBROS — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08

Abyssal Winner

2 : 0

Abyssal wins

MGLBROS

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

Abyssal 62% (prob 0.622)

Correct

Abyssal MGLBROS

62% 38%

Shadow bet: 9.7u @ 1.656 → 6.4u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Abyssal	vs	MGLBROS	Edge
ancient	50% (1/2)		100% (1/1)	-50pp
nuke	44% (7/16)		0% (0/3)	+44pp
inferno	33% (4/12)		0% (0/2)	+33pp
anubis	20% (1/5)		0% (0/1)	+20pp
mirage	71% (10/14)	·	—
dust2	—	·	0% (0/2)
overpass	58% (7/12)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Per-Map Win Probability

ancient

33%

67%

MGLBROS

nuke

100%

Abyssal

inferno

100%

Abyssal

anubis

100%

Abyssal

Veto simulation requires ≥4 maps with data for both teams (min. 3 maps played each).

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Abyssal WIN
MVP vinhy-	33	21	7	64%	94.3	80.0%	1.46	—
blood-	39	24	9	28%	104.1	69.2%	1.46	—
gump-	33	21	17	52%	90.6	79.0%	1.43	—
dangeR RIFLER	31	21	8	52%	87.9	81.1%	1.38	6.3
foggers ENTRY	28	25	11	71%	87.2	80.6%	1.26	4.9
MGLBROS
MVP YoNdO-	30	30	12	63%	100.0	56.8%	1.10	—
wka--	21	32	5	57%	64.6	46.2%	0.65	—
youngswag	20	31	3	55%	68.1	45.7%	0.64	—
shalnark-	18	33	6	72%	63.7	46.0%	0.56	—
meggy	20	35	5	65%	65.0	37.8%	0.52	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Abyssal WIN
dangeR	19	14	6	47%	94.8	73.9%	1.32	6.3
gump-	18	13	8	67%	92.9	72.7%	1.32	—
vinhy-	18	13	2	56%	81.2	75.0%	1.31	—
blood-	19	15	6	16%	85.7	56.5%	1.14	—
foggers	13	15	6	69%	74.3	70.0%	1.00	4.9
MGLBROS
YoNdO-	18	16	9	72%	109.3	59.1%	1.20	—
wka--	15	17	4	67%	78.8	56.5%	0.91	—
shalnark-	13	17	5	69%	75.6	57.1%	0.85	—
youngswag	11	16	0	55%	60.2	36.8%	0.58	—
meggy	10	18	3	90%	64.0	42.9%	0.55	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Abyssal WIN
blood-	20	9	3	40%	130.7	87.5%	1.92	—
vinhy-	15	8	5	73%	111.7	86.7%	1.67	—
foggers	15	10	5	73%	103.4	93.8%	1.59	4.9
gump-	15	8	9	33%	87.4	87.5%	1.58	—
dangeR	12	7	2	58%	76.6	92.9%	1.47	6.3
MGLBROS
YoNdO-	12	14	3	50%	86.3	53.3%	0.94	—
youngswag	9	15	3	56%	77.4	56.3%	0.73	—
meggy	10	17	2	40%	66.3	31.3%	0.49	—
wka--	6	15	1	33%	44.1	31.3%	0.26	—
shalnark-	5	16	1	80%	48.1	31.3%	0.19	—

Teams

Players in this match

vinhy- blood- gump- dangeR foggers YoNdO- wka-- youngswag shalnark- meggy