PHANTOM v1 DEPLOYED
Economy & Round Type · Gradient Boosting

Economy specialist. Knows who wins when it counts.

About this Model

PHANTOM is CounterQuant's economy and round-type specialist. Trained on 500,000+ CS2 rounds parsed from pro demos, PHANTOM predicts round outcome based on economy state (full-buy vs eco vs force), CT/T side, and recent momentum. It produces win probabilities broken out by buy type, enabling tactical insights beyond simple win/loss rates: who wins CT full-buys? Who thrives on eco rounds? Which team converts T side executes best?

Top Feature Drivers

CT full-buy win rate (rolling 20) 24%

CT side rifle-round win rate from demo data

T full-buy win rate (rolling 20) 22%

T side rifle-round win rate

T execution rate 18%

Bomb plants per full-buy T round — aggression signal

CT anti-execute win rate 16%

CT wins when T has full buy — defensive efficiency

Eco round win rate differential 12%

Clutch-play performance on underpowered rounds

Force-buy conversion rate 8%

Efficiency when gambling on a force

Feature importances reflect normalized split gain across the training set. Values are approximate — the model uses all features simultaneously.

How to Interpret

PHANTOM scores like a win-rate dashboard broken by economy state. A team with strong PHANTOM CT full-buy score (>55%) and weak T execution (<30%) is a defensive fortress — great on CT-sided maps (Nuke, Inferno), risky on T-sided maps. The economy differentials feed into TITAN as tactical edge features.

No settled predictions recorded for this model yet.

Live Performance

No live predictions recorded yet.

Selector Role

Sub-model — feeds Economy features into TITAN ensemble.

Version History

v1 2026-Q2

Launch: CT/T + buy-type stratification from 500k+ pro rounds

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