CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction
1win
52%
(prob 0.515)
Correct
1win
Betclic
52%
48%
Shadow bet: 1.2u @ 1.950
→ 1.2u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | 1win | vs | Betclic | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
inferno
|
69% (47/68) |
|
0% (0/5) | +69pp |
dust2
|
64% (68/106) |
|
43% (23/53) | +21pp |
overpass
|
53% (29/55) |
|
40% (10/25) | +13pp |
mirage
|
60% (60/100) |
|
52% (32/62) | +8pp |
nuke
|
59% (19/32) |
|
53% (49/92) | +6pp |
ancient
|
47% (50/106) |
|
52% (51/99) | -5pp |
vertigo
|
57% (20/35) |
|
60% (9/15) | -3pp |
anubis
|
57% (24/42) |
|
55% (34/62) | +2pp |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
1win bans
ancient
47% WR
overpass
53% WR
Betclic bans
inferno
0% WR
dust2
43% WR
1win pick
mirage
54% — 1win favored
Decider
nuke
53% 1win
Decider
anubis
51% 1win
Betclic pick
vertigo
51% — Betclic favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
inferno
1win
dust2
1win
overpass
1win
mirage
even
nuke
even
ancient
even
vertigo
even
anubis
even
1win on left ·
Betclic on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side