T1 BO3 CS2 2026-06-05
0 : 2
FlyQuest wins
FlyQuest FlyQuest Winner
CQ GESUS
CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction
Liquid 62% (prob 0.622)
Wrong
Liquid FlyQuest
62% 38%
Shadow bet: 11.4u @ 1.656 → -11.4u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
MIRAGE model →
Map Liquid vs FlyQuest Edge
vertigo
25% (4/16)
62% (5/8) -37pp
overpass
53% (19/36)
33% (2/6) +20pp
dust2
47% (28/60)
61% (25/41) -14pp
anubis
61% (39/64)
72% (29/40) -11pp
nuke
46% (38/82)
41% (13/32) +5pp
mirage
56% (49/87)
52% (16/31) +4pp
inferno
55% (56/102)
59% (30/51) -4pp
ancient
62% (53/86)
60% (25/42) +2pp
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
MIRAGE model →
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Liquid bans
vertigo 25% WR
nuke 46% WR
FlyQuest bans
overpass 33% WR
mirage 52% WR
Liquid pick
ancient
51% — Liquid favored
Decider
inferno
52% FlyQuest
Decider
dust2
56% FlyQuest
FlyQuest pick
anubis
54% — FlyQuest favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
vertigo
29%
71%
FlyQuest
overpass
62%
38%
Liquid
dust2
44%
56%
FlyQuest
anubis
46%
54%
even
nuke
53%
47%
even
mirage
52%
48%
even
inferno
48%
52%
even
ancient
51%
49%
even
Liquid on left · FlyQuest on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side
Player K D A Rating
MVP EliGE
26 31 6 0.98
NAF
19 30 9 0.80
16 29 8 0.67
17 33 2 0.47
siuhy
12 30 1 0.26
FlyQuest WIN
MVP INS
36 15 7 1.77
Vexite
31 18 16 1.74
jks
32 18 14 1.63
story
35 19 4 1.56
nettik
20 21 10 1.10
Player K D A Rating
EliGE
21 17 4 1.49
ultimate
14 16 3 1.07
malbsMd
13 18 2 0.78
NAF
9 16 6 0.72
siuhy
5 17 1 0.17
FlyQuest WIN
INS
22 10 6 1.81
Vexite
17 10 8 1.65
jks
19 14 4 1.45
nettik
12 15 8 1.07
story
15 14 2 1.03
Player K D A Rating
NAF
10 14 3 0.91
siuhy
7 13 0 0.38
EliGE
5 14 2 0.30
ultimate
2 13 5 0.11
malbsMd
4 15 0 0.05
FlyQuest WIN
story
20 5 2 2.26
jks
13 4 10 1.88
Vexite
14 8 8 1.86
INS
14 5 1 1.70
nettik
8 6 2 1.16