ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-05

ex-Zero Tenacity

0 : 2

Johnny Speeds wins

Johnny Speeds Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

Johnny Speeds 55% (prob 0.553)

Correct

ex-Zero Tenacity Johnny Speeds

45% 55%

Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.739 → 0.7u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	ex-Zero Tenacity	vs	Johnny Speeds	Edge
overpass	30% (6/20)		70% (46/66)	-40pp
mirage	35% (11/31)		61% (97/159)	-26pp
anubis	43% (6/14)		53% (41/78)	-10pp
nuke	50% (21/42)		49% (41/83)	+1pp
inferno	54% (19/35)		55% (53/97)	-1pp
dust2	48% (21/44)		49% (39/79)	-1pp
ancient	—	·	60% (49/81)
vertigo	—	·	50% (3/6)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

ex-Zero Tenacity bans

overpass 30% WR

mirage 35% WR

Johnny Speeds bans

nuke 49% WR

dust2 49% WR

ex-Zero Tenacity pick

inferno

50% — ex-Zero Tenacity favored

Decider

ancient

Decider

vertigo

Johnny Speeds pick

anubis

55% — Johnny Speeds favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

30%

70%

Johnny Speeds

mirage

36%

64%

Johnny Speeds

anubis

45%

55%

Johnny Speeds

nuke

51%

49%

even

inferno

50%

even

dust2

49%

51%

even

ex-Zero Tenacity on left · Johnny Speeds on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ex-Zero Tenacity
MVP Cjoffo RIFLER	29	28	8	52%	83.3	65.0%	1.08	5.5
Dragon	30	31	2	70%	85.6	55.0%	0.98	—
brutmonster AWP	25	31	7	48%	69.8	60.0%	0.87	5.2
Kind0 RIFLER	21	31	5	43%	61.8	57.5%	0.73	5.2
aVN RIFLER	13	32	7	62%	46.8	47.5%	0.43	4.1
Johnny Speeds WIN
MVP jocab RIFLER	41	23	6	39%	111.8	75.0%	1.56	7.7
titulus RIFLER	36	26	8	58%	91.2	65.0%	1.28	3.8
HEAP	35	27	9	60%	92.2	65.0%	1.25	—
nawwk AWP	24	24	8	33%	73.4	67.5%	1.01	8.0
Lekr0	23	25	11	57%	74.2	70.0%	1.00	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ex-Zero Tenacity
Dragon	14	14	0	86%	79.1	61.1%	1.02	—
Cjoffo	12	15	7	67%	85.9	61.1%	0.95	5.5
Kind0	11	16	4	45%	70.7	61.1%	0.81	5.2
aVN	7	14	3	57%	54.8	55.6%	0.58	4.1
brutmonster	7	14	3	43%	46.6	50.0%	0.51	5.2
Johnny Speeds WIN
jocab	24	11	6	42%	144.8	77.8%	1.95	7.7
HEAP	17	11	4	59%	97.6	72.2%	1.41	—
Lekr0	14	10	6	71%	103.9	83.3%	1.41	—
titulus	13	12	4	62%	72.2	66.7%	1.07	3.8
nawwk	8	10	2	38%	53.7	55.6%	0.74	8.0

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ex-Zero Tenacity
Cjoffo	17	13	1	41%	81.2	68.2%	1.18	5.5
brutmonster	18	17	4	50%	88.8	68.2%	1.16	5.2
Dragon	16	17	2	56%	91.0	50.0%	0.94	—
Kind0	10	15	1	40%	54.4	54.6%	0.67	5.2
aVN	6	18	4	67%	40.2	40.9%	0.31	4.1
Johnny Speeds WIN
titulus	23	14	4	57%	106.7	63.6%	1.45	3.8
jocab	17	12	0	35%	84.7	72.7%	1.24	7.7
nawwk	16	14	6	31%	89.5	77.3%	1.23	8.0
HEAP	18	16	5	61%	87.9	59.1%	1.12	—
Lekr0	9	15	5	33%	49.9	59.1%	0.67	—

Teams

Players in this match

jocab titulus HEAP Cjoffo nawwk Lekr0 Dragon brutmonster Kind0 aVN