RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

RUSTEC

0 : 2

Young Ninjas wins

Young Ninjas Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

RUSTEC 52% (prob 0.515)

Wrong

RUSTEC Young Ninjas

52% 48%

Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.950 → -1.0u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	RUSTEC	Young Ninjas	Edge
inferno	80% (4/5)	33% (4/12)	+47pp
vertigo	100% (1/1)	71% (25/35)	+29pp
anubis	30% (3/10)	47% (14/30)	-17pp
mirage	40% (6/15)	54% (27/50)	-14pp
dust2	46% (13/28)	58% (29/50)	-12pp
ancient	38% (5/13)	49% (30/61)	-11pp
nuke	43% (9/21)	52% (16/31)	-9pp
overpass	73% (11/15)	72% (18/25)	+1pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

RUSTEC bans

anubis 30% WR

ancient 38% WR

Young Ninjas bans

inferno 33% WR

nuke 52% WR

RUSTEC pick

overpass

50% — RUSTEC favored

Decider

mirage

57% Young Ninjas

Decider

vertigo

58% RUSTEC

Young Ninjas pick

dust2

56% — Young Ninjas favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

71%

29%

RUSTEC

vertigo

58%

42%

RUSTEC

anubis

39%

61%

Young Ninjas

mirage

43%

57%

Young Ninjas

dust2

44%

56%

Young Ninjas

ancient

44%

56%

Young Ninjas

nuke

45%

55%

Young Ninjas

overpass

50%

even

RUSTEC on left · Young Ninjas on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
RUSTEC
MVP youka AWP	28	28	3	50%	97.8	62.1%	1.16	6.4
Brilliance	25	38	1	76%	80.8	54.8%	0.77	—
jakekeS	22	36	6	55%	71.2	40.0%	0.60	—
anttzz RIFLER	18	35	6	67%	62.4	43.3%	0.49	4.6
supra RIFLER	11	41	3	64%	58.7	41.9%	0.17	5.3
Young Ninjas WIN
MVP joeski	51	25	3	71%	153.0	84.6%	2.36	—
n0te	48	20	9	75%	129.5	80.0%	2.12	—
tein	31	22	10	52%	102.3	86.7%	1.56	—
mASKED	29	25	18	59%	104.2	83.3%	1.46	—
rud	24	18	9	33%	79.3	75.0%	1.29	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
RUSTEC
youka	15	12	1	47%	102.6	64.3%	1.34	6.4
Brilliance	15	19	0	80%	96.9	52.9%	0.93	—
jakekeS	15	17	2	60%	88.1	40.0%	0.91	—
supra	6	18	0	50%	63.3	37.5%	0.26	5.3
anttzz	4	18	5	100%	40.8	37.5%	0.11	4.6
Young Ninjas WIN
joeski	27	13	0	74%	149.7	78.6%	2.29	—
n0te	17	9	6	71%	133.5	73.3%	1.72	—
mASKED	18	15	7	56%	117.9	73.3%	1.53	—
tein	15	8	4	60%	96.0	73.3%	1.51	—
rud	9	13	3	11%	44.8	66.7%	0.77	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
RUSTEC
youka	13	16	2	54%	93.4	60.0%	0.99	6.4
anttzz	14	17	1	57%	87.2	50.0%	0.93	4.6
Brilliance	10	19	1	70%	61.2	57.1%	0.58	—
jakekeS	7	19	4	43%	54.4	40.0%	0.28	—
supra	5	23	3	80%	53.9	46.7%	0.07	5.3
Young Ninjas WIN
n0te	31	11	3	77%	125.5	86.7%	2.51	—
joeski	24	12	3	67%	156.9	91.7%	2.45	—
rud	15	5	6	47%	119.2	84.6%	1.90	—
tein	16	14	6	44%	108.6	100.0%	1.60	—
mASKED	11	10	11	64%	90.5	93.3%	1.38	—

Teams

Players in this match

joeski n0te tein mASKED rud youka Brilliance jakekeS anttzz supra