SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-05

SPARTA

0 : 2

CYBERSHOKE wins

CYBERSHOKE Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

SPARTA 52% (prob 0.515)

Wrong

SPARTA CYBERSHOKE

52% 48%

Shadow bet: 1.2u @ 1.950 → -1.2u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	SPARTA	vs	CYBERSHOKE	Edge
ancient	35% (25/72)		59% (88/150)	-24pp
nuke	50% (36/72)		36% (36/101)	+14pp
anubis	50% (3/6)		61% (77/126)	-11pp
dust2	44% (24/55)		52% (68/130)	-8pp
inferno	25% (2/8)		32% (9/28)	-7pp
overpass	53% (20/38)		46% (12/26)	+7pp
mirage	54% (43/80)		58% (88/152)	-4pp
vertigo	—	·	32% (12/38)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

SPARTA bans

inferno 25% WR

ancient 35% WR

CYBERSHOKE bans

nuke 36% WR

overpass 46% WR

SPARTA pick

mirage

48% — SPARTA favored

Decider

dust2

54% CYBERSHOKE

Decider

vertigo

CYBERSHOKE pick

anubis

55% — CYBERSHOKE favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

37%

63%

CYBERSHOKE

nuke

58%

42%

SPARTA

anubis

45%

55%

CYBERSHOKE

dust2

46%

54%

even

inferno

44%

56%

CYBERSHOKE

overpass

54%

46%

even

mirage

48%

52%

even

SPARTA on left · CYBERSHOKE on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SPARTA
MVP NickelBack ENTRY	27	33	9	44%	70.3	61.9%	0.90	6.4
Djon8 RIFLER	30	33	4	43%	71.9	53.7%	0.90	7.6
TRAVIS RIFLER	27	38	7	52%	78.6	63.4%	0.87	7.0
k4nfuz RIFLER	25	34	11	44%	71.1	60.5%	0.84	7.3
El1an AWP	26	29	2	19%	65.6	52.5%	0.84	7.6
CYBERSHOKE WIN
MVP alpha RIFLER	39	30	17	46%	88.5	76.7%	1.36	7.6
fluffy	38	30	8	29%	95.2	65.0%	1.28	—
bl1x1 ENTRY	32	28	12	75%	86.5	73.8%	1.21	7.7
Mokuj1n RIFLER	33	26	8	58%	79.1	63.4%	1.16	8.1
glowiing RIFLER	29	27	12	55%	67.8	74.4%	1.10	7.9

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SPARTA
El1an	18	14	2	17%	76.8	59.1%	1.12	7.6
NickelBack	16	18	2	31%	71.8	54.6%	0.89	6.4
TRAVIS	15	21	2	47%	71.6	59.1%	0.81	7.0
k4nfuz	12	17	2	42%	59.4	54.6%	0.72	7.3
Djon8	13	17	2	38%	64.1	45.5%	0.71	7.6
CYBERSHOKE WIN
alpha	20	15	10	55%	90.6	69.6%	1.31	7.6
fluffy	19	15	6	42%	95.3	57.1%	1.21	—
bl1x1	16	15	6	81%	80.6	68.2%	1.11	7.7
Mokuj1n	16	14	3	50%	82.0	57.1%	1.06	8.1
glowiing	16	15	7	56%	60.5	70.8%	1.04	7.9

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SPARTA
Djon8	17	16	2	47%	80.9	63.2%	1.12	7.6
k4nfuz	13	17	9	46%	83.4	66.7%	0.96	7.3
TRAVIS	12	17	5	58%	86.7	68.4%	0.93	7.0
NickelBack	11	15	7	64%	68.8	70.0%	0.90	6.4
El1an	8	15	0	25%	51.8	44.4%	0.49	7.6
CYBERSHOKE WIN
alpha	19	15	7	37%	86.2	85.0%	1.41	7.6
fluffy	19	15	2	16%	95.0	73.7%	1.36	—
bl1x1	16	13	6	69%	93.0	80.0%	1.32	7.7
Mokuj1n	17	12	5	65%	76.1	70.0%	1.26	8.1
glowiing	13	12	5	54%	77.0	79.0%	1.17	7.9

Teams

Players in this match

alpha fluffy bl1x1 Mokuj1n glowiing NickelBack Djon8 TRAVIS k4nfuz El1an