Chicken Coop vs Third Prime

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08

Chicken Coop Winner

2 : 1

Chicken Coop wins

Third Prime

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

Chicken Coop 65% (prob 0.649)

Correct

Chicken Coop Third Prime

65% 35%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Rest days +0.277 Elo edge -0.077 Experience +0.056

Shadow bet: 15.2u @ 1.595 → 9.0u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Chicken Coop	vs	Third Prime	Edge
anubis	21% (4/19)		100% (1/1)	-79pp
overpass	69% (9/13)		0% (0/1)	+69pp
inferno	60% (12/20)		0% (0/1)	+60pp
mirage	43% (10/23)	·	—
nuke	42% (17/40)	·	—
ancient	42% (5/12)	·	—
dust2	43% (12/28)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Per-Map Win Probability

anubis

17%

83%

Third Prime

overpass

100%

Chicken Coop

inferno

100%

Chicken Coop

Veto simulation requires ≥4 maps with data for both teams (min. 3 maps played each).

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Chicken Coop WIN
MVP REKMEISTER RIFLER	49	40	20	49%	93.1	76.4%	1.34	6.0
Crisp	48	43	16	33%	81.6	69.6%	1.19	—
Dropcs	48	41	13	48%	84.0	62.3%	1.13	—
jared	40	40	16	55%	79.4	73.7%	1.11	—
mdsz	38	42	26	47%	88.1	66.7%	1.06	—
Coach\|darkpsy-	3	3	0	0%	—	100.0%	0.81	—
Third Prime
MVP freakazoid	42	41	16	55%	91.6	68.5%	1.15	—
roca	45	40	7	56%	85.8	61.4%	1.11	—
Willie	38	42	10	32%	84.7	63.0%	1.00	—
gloRinsz	42	48	9	48%	82.7	62.1%	0.98	—
LittleBEER	30	46	12	43%	65.7	54.6%	0.72	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Chicken Coop WIN
Dropcs	23	9	3	48%	127.7	83.3%	1.93	—
REKMEISTERxD	19	11	6	68%	115.9	82.4%	1.69	6.0
Crisp	16	10	5	44%	96.8	82.4%	1.50	—
jared	10	11	6	40%	58.6	76.5%	1.01	—
mdsz	9	12	9	44%	87.2	68.8%	0.99	—
Coach\|darkpsy-	1	1	0	0%	—	100.0%	0.81	—
Third Prime
roca	15	12	0	67%	105.0	62.5%	1.26	—
gloRinsz	10	16	3	30%	70.7	55.6%	0.72	—
freakazoid	8	15	4	50%	57.7	52.9%	0.59	—
LittleBEER	9	17	4	44%	63.0	50.0%	0.58	—
Willie	6	14	2	33%	50.2	29.4%	0.32	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Chicken Coop WIN
REKMEISTERxD	18	13	8	39%	85.1	85.0%	1.43	6.0
Dropcs	20	13	7	50%	91.8	72.7%	1.39	—
jared	17	14	6	59%	86.0	85.7%	1.34	—
mdsz	15	13	11	67%	99.3	75.0%	1.28	—
Crisp	17	16	6	18%	81.6	73.7%	1.22	—
Third Prime
Willie	21	17	3	33%	108.9	66.7%	1.34	—
freakazoid	16	15	8	56%	111.9	72.2%	1.32	—
Coach\|darkpsy-	1	1	0	0%	—	100.0%	0.81	—
roca	11	16	3	45%	61.8	52.4%	0.70	—
gloRinsz	10	18	2	40%	59.6	47.4%	0.56	—
LittleBEER	7	18	5	29%	58.3	36.8%	0.36	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Chicken Coop
jared	13	15	4	62%	90.9	57.9%	0.97	—
Crisp	15	17	5	40%	68.7	55.0%	0.90	—
mdsz	14	17	6	29%	78.2	57.1%	0.90	—
REKMEISTERxD	12	16	6	33%	80.3	61.1%	0.90	6.0
Coach\|darkpsy-	1	1	0	0%	—	100.0%	0.81	—
Dropcs	5	19	3	40%	38.3	33.3%	0.17	—
Third Prime WIN
gloRinsz	22	14	4	59%	113.9	81.0%	1.59	—
freakazoid	18	11	4	56%	102.6	79.0%	1.50	—
roca	19	12	4	53%	95.6	70.0%	1.40	—
Willie	11	11	5	27%	89.5	93.8%	1.29	—
LittleBEER	14	11	3	50%	76.2	77.8%	1.24	—

Teams

Players in this match

REKMEISTER Crisp freakazoid Dropcs jared roca mdsz Willie gloRinsz Coach|darkpsy- LittleBEER