T3
BO3
CS2
2026-06-07
CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
LAG
69%
(prob 0.689)
Wrong
LAG
Villainous
69%
31%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Rest days
+0.341
Map-pool Elo
+0.337
Elo edge
-0.282
Shadow bet: 15.2u @ 1.514
→ -15.2u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | LAG | vs | Villainous | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
dust2
|
57% (26/46) |
|
0% (0/2) | +57pp |
nuke
|
60% (26/43) |
|
12% (1/8) | +48pp |
inferno
|
65% (47/72) |
|
29% (2/7) | +36pp |
anubis
|
39% (19/49) |
|
50% (1/2) | -11pp |
vertigo
|
48% (10/21) |
|
40% (2/5) | +8pp |
mirage
|
39% (17/44) |
|
33% (3/9) | +6pp |
ancient
|
56% (50/89) |
|
50% (2/4) | +6pp |
overpass
|
53% (8/15) | · | — |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
LAG bans
mirage
39% WR
vertigo
48% WR
Villainous bans
nuke
12% WR
inferno
29% WR
LAG pick
ancient
53% — LAG favored
Decider
overpass
Decider
anubis
56% Villainous
Villainous pick
dust2
0% — Villainous favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
dust2
LAG
nuke
LAG
inferno
LAG
anubis
Villainous
vertigo
LAG
mirage
even
ancient
even
LAG on left ·
Villainous on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Unverified Match — No Demo Data
Player stats are only shown for matches validated from V4 parsed demo data. No demo is available for this match.