T2
BO3
CS2
2026-06-10
CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
Ursa
62%
(prob 0.618)
Pending
Ursa
HEROIC Academy
62%
38%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Map-pool Elo
+0.324
Elo edge
-0.282
Schedule strength
+0.114
Shadow bet: 9.9u @ 1.666
All Model Predictions
ORACLE v1
Ursa
62%
pending
NEXUS v2
Ursa
67%
pending
PHANTOM v1
Ursa
64%
pending
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | Ursa | vs | HEROIC Academy | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
ancient
|
0% (0/1) |
|
46% (18/39) | -46pp |
dust2
|
64% (43/67) |
|
44% (12/27) | +20pp |
anubis
|
64% (7/11) |
|
45% (5/11) | +19pp |
overpass
|
48% (11/23) |
|
38% (3/8) | +10pp |
nuke
|
42% (22/53) |
|
38% (13/34) | +4pp |
mirage
|
46% (19/41) |
|
43% (15/35) | +3pp |
inferno
|
40% (12/30) |
|
40% (6/15) | 0pp |
vertigo
|
— | · | — |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Ursa bans
inferno
40% WR
nuke
42% WR
HEROIC Academy bans
overpass
38% WR
mirage
43% WR
Ursa pick
anubis
59% — Ursa favored
Decider
ancient
100% HEROIC Academy
Decider
vertigo
HEROIC Academy pick
dust2
41% — HEROIC Academy favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
ancient
HEROIC Academy
dust2
Ursa
anubis
Ursa
overpass
Ursa
nuke
even
mirage
even
inferno
even
Ursa on left ·
HEROIC Academy on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Unverified Match — No Demo Data
Player stats are only shown for matches validated from V4 parsed demo data. No demo is available for this match.