brazylijski luz vs ex-Zero Tenacity

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08

brazylijski luz Winner

2 : 1

brazylijski luz wins

ex-Zero Tenacity

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

ex-Zero Tenacity 56% (prob 0.565)

Wrong

brazylijski luz ex-Zero Tenacity

44% 56%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Schedule strength -0.136 Elo edge -0.087 Head-to-head +0.056

Shadow bet: 4.7u @ 1.802 → -4.7u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	brazylijski luz	vs	ex-Zero Tenacity	Edge
inferno	25% (1/4)		54% (19/35)	-29pp
mirage	48% (10/21)		35% (11/31)	+13pp
dust2	58% (7/12)		48% (21/44)	+10pp
nuke	59% (17/29)		50% (21/42)	+9pp
overpass	33% (2/6)		30% (6/20)	+3pp
anubis	42% (5/12)		43% (6/14)	-1pp
ancient	41% (16/39)	·	—
vertigo	50% (5/10)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

brazylijski luz bans

inferno 25% WR

anubis 42% WR

ex-Zero Tenacity bans

overpass 30% WR

mirage 35% WR

brazylijski luz pick

nuke

54% — brazylijski luz favored

Decider

ancient

Decider

vertigo

ex-Zero Tenacity pick

dust2

45% — ex-Zero Tenacity favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

32%

68%

ex-Zero Tenacity

mirage

58%

42%

brazylijski luz

dust2

55%

45%

brazylijski luz

nuke

54%

46%

even

overpass

52%

48%

even

anubis

49%

51%

even

brazylijski luz on left · ex-Zero Tenacity on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
brazylijski luz WIN
MVP next1me	52	36	16	35%	92.7	69.0%	1.33	—
chudy ENTRY	48	42	7	67%	85.3	69.5%	1.18	2.0
aimy ENTRY	45	46	17	47%	90.2	61.0%	1.07	3.0
Nami	34	37	15	41%	69.0	66.7%	0.98	—
elem	31	37	14	45%	63.2	66.0%	0.91	—
ex-Zero Tenacity
MVP brutmonster AWP	52	42	9	33%	101.8	69.6%	1.31	5.2
Dragon	41	40	13	51%	80.2	66.7%	1.09	—
Cjoffo RIFLER	38	43	12	76%	79.4	60.0%	0.96	5.5
Kind0 RIFLER	35	41	9	57%	76.7	54.7%	0.88	5.2
aVN RIFLER	30	43	7	47%	72.4	50.0%	0.73	4.1

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
brazylijski luz WIN
aimy	18	16	8	56%	109.8	70.0%	1.32	3.0
elem	14	10	4	43%	70.8	77.8%	1.25	—
next1me	17	11	4	24%	82.3	60.0%	1.22	—
le chudy	13	12	3	77%	76.8	73.7%	1.12	2.0
Nami	9	12	5	22%	60.6	52.9%	0.75	—
ex-Zero Tenacity
brutmonster	16	15	3	44%	100.1	72.2%	1.25	5.2
Dragon	16	13	1	31%	74.6	63.2%	1.13	—
Kind0	10	14	6	60%	74.0	52.9%	0.79	5.2
Cjoffo	10	15	3	50%	61.1	44.4%	0.63	5.5
aVN	8	14	2	50%	58.2	38.9%	0.51	4.1

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
brazylijski luz WIN
le chudy	26	11	3	62%	117.6	85.7%	1.87	2.0
next1me	24	12	5	25%	126.0	84.2%	1.86	—
Nami	11	13	8	55%	75.4	84.2%	1.10	—
aimy	13	14	5	31%	85.1	68.4%	1.06	3.0
elem	11	12	7	45%	72.8	72.2%	1.03	—
ex-Zero Tenacity
Cjoffo	14	17	5	100%	86.7	55.0%	0.92	5.5
Kind0	15	17	1	40%	79.1	50.0%	0.88	5.2
aVN	13	17	2	31%	79.9	50.0%	0.80	4.1
Dragon	9	14	6	44%	69.0	58.8%	0.77	—
brutmonster	9	18	3	44%	59.9	57.9%	0.60	5.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
brazylijski luz
Nami	14	12	2	43%	70.2	61.1%	1.06	—
next1me	11	13	7	73%	70.4	63.2%	0.92	—
aimy	14	16	4	50%	75.6	45.0%	0.83	3.0
le chudy	9	19	1	67%	58.2	47.4%	0.48	2.0
elem	6	15	3	50%	44.9	47.1%	0.40	—
ex-Zero Tenacity WIN
brutmonster	27	9	3	22%	145.2	79.0%	2.09	5.2
Dragon	16	13	6	75%	96.5	77.8%	1.36	—
Cjoffo	14	11	4	71%	90.1	82.4%	1.34	5.5
Kind0	10	10	2	80%	76.6	62.5%	0.98	5.2
aVN	9	12	3	67%	79.8	64.3%	0.91	4.1

Teams

Players in this match

next1me brutmonster chudy Dragon aimy Nami Cjoffo elem Kind0 aVN