Leo vs HYPERSPIRIT — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08

Leo Winner

2 : 0

Leo wins

HYPERSPIRIT

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

HYPERSPIRIT 55% (prob 0.550)

Wrong

Leo HYPERSPIRIT

45% 55%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Map-pool Elo +0.363 Elo edge -0.222 Schedule strength +0.107

Shadow bet: 3.5u @ 1.843 → -3.5u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Leo	vs	HYPERSPIRIT	Edge
inferno	45% (17/38)		0% (0/2)	+45pp
overpass	54% (7/13)		18% (2/11)	+36pp
dust2	62% (48/78)		37% (15/41)	+25pp
ancient	59% (40/68)		42% (15/36)	+17pp
mirage	48% (19/40)		39% (14/36)	+9pp
nuke	35% (9/26)		32% (6/19)	+3pp
anubis	43% (15/35)		44% (7/16)	-1pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Leo bans

nuke 35% WR

anubis 43% WR

HYPERSPIRIT bans

overpass 18% WR

dust2 37% WR

Leo pick

ancient

58% — Leo favored

Decider

inferno

100% Leo

Decider

vertigo

HYPERSPIRIT pick

mirage

45% — HYPERSPIRIT favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

100%

Leo

overpass

75%

25%

Leo

dust2

63%

37%

Leo

ancient

58%

42%

Leo

mirage

55%

45%

Leo

nuke

52%

48%

even

anubis

49%

51%

even

Leo on left · HYPERSPIRIT on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo WIN
MVP kL1o RIFLER	42	34	11	57%	92.0	75.0%	1.31	5.9
rendysky AWP	45	34	11	13%	93.0	70.6%	1.30	4.4
OneUn1que RIFLER	43	37	18	58%	95.3	66.7%	1.23	6.2
amster RIFLER	38	36	9	50%	87.2	71.7%	1.18	5.9
leen	30	35	7	67%	66.4	60.9%	0.89	—
HYPERSPIRIT
MVP Ciocardau	39	40	10	79%	91.0	71.4%	1.15	—
ragga	37	39	12	41%	81.7	56.9%	0.98	—
d1maje	33	39	14	55%	76.9	64.0%	0.96	—
starplajerz	32	40	12	47%	67.4	56.9%	0.84	—
ADRON RIFLER	29	36	5	52%	59.0	57.8%	0.81	2.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo WIN
kL1o	27	22	6	56%	90.9	73.3%	1.30	5.9
amster	25	25	4	52%	88.6	70.0%	1.15	5.9
rendysky	25	25	6	12%	70.8	68.8%	1.07	4.4
OneUn1que	23	27	9	52%	81.2	61.3%	0.98	6.2
leen	17	25	4	65%	60.2	55.2%	0.72	—
HYPERSPIRIT
Ciocardau	26	24	7	77%	90.1	80.7%	1.27	—
d1maje	23	21	7	48%	84.6	73.3%	1.18	—
ragga	26	23	7	31%	86.7	64.5%	1.16	—
starplajerz	26	25	7	46%	79.0	58.1%	1.06	—
ADRON	20	22	4	40%	59.0	64.3%	0.93	2.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo WIN
rendysky	20	9	5	15%	130.4	73.7%	1.70	4.4
OneUn1que	20	10	9	65%	117.1	75.0%	1.63	6.2
kL1o	15	12	5	60%	93.8	77.8%	1.32	5.9
amster	13	11	5	46%	84.4	75.0%	1.25	5.9
leen	13	10	3	69%	76.9	70.6%	1.19	—
HYPERSPIRIT
Ciocardau	13	16	3	85%	92.6	55.6%	0.93	—
ragga	11	16	5	64%	74.0	45.0%	0.70	—
d1maje	10	18	7	70%	65.3	50.0%	0.62	—
ADRON	9	14	1	78%	59.1	47.1%	0.62	2.7
starplajerz	6	15	5	50%	49.5	55.0%	0.51	—

Teams

Players in this match

kL1o rendysky OneUn1que amster Ciocardau ragga d1maje leen starplajerz ADRON