GenOne vs BIG Academy — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-07

GenOne Winner

2 : 1

GenOne wins

BIG Academy

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

BIG Academy 56% (prob 0.565)

Wrong

GenOne BIG Academy

44% 56%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Map-pool Elo -0.124 exp min -0.089 econ plant rate diff -0.089

Shadow bet: 5.1u @ 1.802 → -5.1u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	GenOne	BIG Academy	Edge
vertigo	20% (2/10)	43% (6/14)	-23pp
nuke	54% (60/111)	36% (5/14)	+18pp
anubis	48% (41/85)	65% (17/26)	-17pp
mirage	31% (4/13)	46% (18/39)	-15pp
ancient	41% (50/122)	55% (18/33)	-14pp
overpass	51% (18/35)	65% (22/34)	-14pp
inferno	51% (39/76)	39% (12/31)	+12pp
dust2	62% (70/113)	58% (19/33)	+4pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

GenOne bans

vertigo 20% WR

mirage 31% WR

BIG Academy bans

nuke 36% WR

inferno 39% WR

GenOne pick

dust2

52% — GenOne favored

Decider

anubis

58% BIG Academy

Decider

ancient

57% BIG Academy

BIG Academy pick

overpass

56% — BIG Academy favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

vertigo

32%

68%

BIG Academy

nuke

60%

40%

GenOne

anubis

42%

58%

BIG Academy

mirage

40%

60%

BIG Academy

ancient

43%

57%

BIG Academy

overpass

44%

56%

BIG Academy

inferno

57%

43%

GenOne

dust2

52%

48%

even

GenOne on left · BIG Academy on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
GenOne WIN
MVP Chucky	58	44	9	41%	92.3	76.2%	1.35	—
bL4SEZ	60	46	13	57%	87.4	64.2%	1.24	—
Brooxsy RIFLER	56	55	26	66%	91.7	73.2%	1.20	6.5
Djoko ENTRY	48	52	18	63%	78.2	69.7%	1.06	6.1
Keoz SUPPORT	45	57	22	51%	70.0	62.3%	0.90	6.4
BIG Academy
MVP prosus RIFLER	67	61	22	66%	104.0	76.8%	1.36	5.6
JBOEN AWP	47	47	16	43%	80.1	67.7%	1.09	7.0
ta9z	46	53	21	57%	79.6	70.2%	1.03	—
doni	47	50	17	49%	78.1	61.5%	1.00	—
w1dow	43	53	12	63%	71.6	59.4%	0.88	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
GenOne
Djoko	19	18	4	74%	103.0	86.4%	1.35	6.1
Keoz	18	18	7	61%	86.8	56.5%	1.04	6.4
Brooxsy	16	20	9	50%	90.4	68.2%	1.03	6.5
Chucky	11	12	3	45%	67.0	73.7%	0.99	—
bL4SEZ	16	16	3	75%	88.8	50.0%	0.99	—
BIG Academy WIN
doni	19	16	11	58%	101.7	72.7%	1.33	—
w1dow	19	15	3	68%	98.0	66.7%	1.28	—
prosus	20	18	5	55%	86.5	69.6%	1.20	5.6
JBOEN	17	16	4	71%	93.1	61.9%	1.12	7.0
ta9z	10	16	6	60%	51.8	63.6%	0.72	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
GenOne WIN
Chucky	29	15	3	45%	131.6	85.7%	1.94	—
Brooxsy	21	16	5	62%	90.7	76.0%	1.31	6.5
bL4SEZ	19	17	5	47%	64.9	64.0%	1.05	—
Djoko	14	14	8	43%	68.6	63.6%	0.99	6.1
Keoz	16	20	7	50%	66.8	69.6%	0.95	6.4
BIG Academy
prosus	21	22	6	62%	94.7	73.9%	1.21	5.6
JBOEN	17	14	6	18%	69.8	71.4%	1.18	7.0
ta9z	14	21	9	64%	80.7	78.3%	0.97	—
w1dow	15	22	8	60%	71.9	70.8%	0.89	—
doni	13	19	2	54%	57.8	45.8%	0.64	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
GenOne WIN
bL4SEZ	25	13	5	52%	111.7	77.3%	1.67	—
Brooxsy	19	19	12	84%	94.0	75.0%	1.22	6.5
Chucky	18	17	3	33%	77.3	69.6%	1.11	—
Djoko	15	20	6	67%	63.1	59.1%	0.83	6.1
Keoz	11	19	8	36%	56.4	60.9%	0.69	6.4
BIG Academy
prosus	26	21	11	77%	130.8	87.0%	1.65	5.6
ta9z	22	16	6	50%	106.4	68.2%	1.40	—
doni	15	15	4	33%	76.6	68.4%	1.09	—
JBOEN	13	17	6	38%	77.1	70.0%	0.96	7.0
w1dow	9	16	1	56%	42.0	36.8%	0.43	—

Teams

Players in this match

prosus Chucky bL4SEZ Brooxsy JBOEN Djoko ta9z doni Keoz w1dow