ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

ex-Zero Tenacity Winner

2 : 1

ex-Zero Tenacity wins

BIG Academy

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

BIG Academy 56% (prob 0.565)

Wrong

ex-Zero Tenacity BIG Academy

44% 56%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

CT-side econ -0.131 Map-pool Elo -0.098 n30 diff +0.084

Shadow bet: 5.3u @ 1.802 → -5.3u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	ex-Zero Tenacity	vs	BIG Academy	Edge
overpass	30% (6/20)		65% (22/34)	-35pp
anubis	43% (6/14)		65% (17/26)	-22pp
inferno	54% (19/35)		39% (12/31)	+15pp
nuke	50% (21/42)		36% (5/14)	+14pp
mirage	35% (11/31)		46% (18/39)	-11pp
dust2	48% (21/44)		58% (19/33)	-10pp
ancient	—	·	55% (18/33)
vertigo	—	·	43% (6/14)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

ex-Zero Tenacity bans

overpass 30% WR

mirage 35% WR

BIG Academy bans

nuke 36% WR

inferno 39% WR

ex-Zero Tenacity pick

dust2

45% — ex-Zero Tenacity favored

Decider

ancient

Decider

vertigo

BIG Academy pick

anubis

60% — BIG Academy favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

32%

68%

BIG Academy

anubis

40%

60%

BIG Academy

inferno

58%

42%

ex-Zero Tenacity

nuke

58%

42%

ex-Zero Tenacity

mirage

43%

57%

BIG Academy

dust2

45%

55%

BIG Academy

ex-Zero Tenacity on left · BIG Academy on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ex-Zero Tenacity WIN
MVP Cjoffo RIFLER	42	42	5	60%	85.0	66.7%	1.09	5.5
aVN RIFLER	46	46	15	67%	75.9	68.3%	1.07	4.1
brutmonster AWP	46	44	12	37%	82.5	59.3%	1.06	5.2
Dragon	47	48	11	47%	80.4	59.7%	1.02	—
Kind0 RIFLER	37	45	17	51%	73.4	59.0%	0.89	5.2
BIG Academy
MVP JBOEN AWP	52	40	12	27%	97.7	70.2%	1.32	7.0
doni	49	43	8	57%	81.9	63.3%	1.12	—
prosus RIFLER	42	45	13	60%	74.7	57.8%	0.94	5.6
w1dow	41	45	12	56%	70.1	55.9%	0.91	—
ta9z	39	45	5	46%	68.2	54.2%	0.85	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ex-Zero Tenacity
Kind0	18	18	6	39%	75.6	63.6%	1.07	5.2
Dragon	16	17	4	44%	67.1	66.7%	1.01	—
Cjoffo	14	17	2	57%	68.7	65.0%	0.92	5.5
aVN	13	19	7	69%	68.3	66.7%	0.85	4.1
brutmonster	10	19	8	20%	43.2	50.0%	0.53	5.2
BIG Academy WIN
doni	23	14	4	52%	95.2	81.0%	1.57	—
JBOEN	19	14	7	21%	97.7	75.0%	1.41	7.0
prosus	19	15	6	58%	84.3	73.9%	1.26	5.6
MVP ta9z	17	17	4	47%	67.1	65.2%	1.02	—
w1dow	13	12	3	54%	62.8	63.2%	0.99	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ex-Zero Tenacity WIN
brutmonster	19	14	2	26%	114.6	66.7%	1.42	5.2
aVN	19	14	4	68%	89.2	68.2%	1.27	4.1
Cjoffo	14	12	1	71%	98.5	64.7%	1.19	5.5
Dragon	14	15	4	50%	88.0	55.0%	0.97	—
Kind0	10	12	3	60%	71.7	52.6%	0.81	5.2
BIG Academy
JBOEN	18	13	3	33%	104.8	66.7%	1.38	7.0
MVP ta9z	14	14	1	29%	72.3	50.0%	0.90	—
prosus	12	15	5	42%	78.3	60.0%	0.89	5.6
w1dow	12	17	3	58%	57.7	40.0%	0.62	—
doni	9	16	3	56%	68.8	40.0%	0.55	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ex-Zero Tenacity WIN
brutmonster	17	11	2	59%	97.6	63.2%	1.31	5.2
Cjoffo	14	13	2	50%	90.6	70.6%	1.18	5.5
aVN	14	13	4	64%	69.3	70.0%	1.07	4.1
Dragon	17	16	3	47%	86.4	57.1%	1.06	—
Kind0	9	15	8	67%	72.7	60.0%	0.76	5.2
BIG Academy
doni	17	13	1	65%	80.8	68.4%	1.23	—
JBOEN	15	13	2	27%	91.0	68.4%	1.18	7.0
w1dow	16	16	6	56%	89.5	65.0%	1.12	—
prosus	11	15	2	82%	60.9	38.1%	0.62	5.6
MVP ta9z	8	14	0	75%	64.7	43.8%	0.55	—

Teams

Players in this match

JBOEN doni Cjoffo aVN brutmonster Dragon prosus w1dow Kind0 ta9z