Leo vs NEW VISION — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

Leo Winner

2 : 0

Leo wins

NEW VISION

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

NEW VISION 55% (prob 0.550)

Wrong

Leo NEW VISION

45% 55%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Elo edge -0.141 econ eco freq diff -0.140 Experience +0.122

Shadow bet: 3.6u @ 1.843 → -3.6u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Leo	vs	NEW VISION	Edge
mirage	48% (19/40)		0% (0/2)	+48pp
nuke	35% (9/26)		67% (2/3)	-32pp
ancient	59% (40/68)		43% (3/7)	+16pp
dust2	62% (48/78)		50% (2/4)	+12pp
inferno	45% (17/38)		40% (2/5)	+5pp
anubis	43% (15/35)		40% (2/5)	+3pp
overpass	54% (7/13)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Leo bans

nuke 35% WR

anubis 43% WR

NEW VISION bans

inferno 40% WR

ancient 43% WR

Leo pick

dust2

55% — Leo favored

Decider

overpass

Decider

vertigo

NEW VISION pick

mirage

0% — NEW VISION favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

mirage

100%

Leo

nuke

34%

66%

NEW VISION

ancient

58%

42%

Leo

dust2

55%

45%

Leo

inferno

53%

47%

even

anubis

52%

48%

even

Leo on left · NEW VISION on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo WIN
MVP OneUn1que RIFLER	34	23	13	53%	103.6	83.3%	1.51	6.2
amster RIFLER	36	24	6	42%	93.7	78.8%	1.51	5.9
leen	29	18	13	69%	94.3	81.8%	1.47	—
rendysky AWP	28	20	12	36%	91.6	80.7%	1.42	4.4
kL1o RIFLER	30	22	6	40%	96.6	71.9%	1.36	5.9
NEW VISION
MVP x1nk1n	27	29	5	56%	75.6	57.1%	0.96	—
fen2k	24	33	5	58%	63.8	54.1%	0.76	—
hahanz0	19	31	6	79%	61.7	57.1%	0.69	—
w0l33n	19	32	1	53%	57.8	50.0%	0.60	—
wonimo	15	30	8	40%	54.3	52.8%	0.56	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo WIN
amster	23	13	3	52%	117.5	88.9%	1.82	5.9
leen	15	9	7	80%	102.6	82.4%	1.51	—
rendysky	14	13	6	29%	89.1	77.8%	1.24	4.4
OneUn1que	13	13	5	46%	87.5	77.8%	1.18	6.2
kL1o	11	11	5	55%	92.1	66.7%	1.12	5.9
NEW VISION
x1nk1n	17	13	3	65%	107.7	64.7%	1.35	—
fen2k	14	15	1	64%	76.4	52.6%	0.91	—
hahanz0	11	16	4	91%	77.8	61.1%	0.83	—
wonimo	8	14	4	50%	58.8	55.6%	0.65	—
w0l33n	7	17	0	57%	51.4	35.3%	0.31	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo WIN
OneUn1que	21	10	8	57%	119.7	88.9%	1.85	6.2
rendysky	14	7	6	43%	95.0	84.6%	1.67	4.4
kL1o	19	11	1	32%	100.6	76.5%	1.57	5.9
leen	14	9	6	57%	85.4	81.3%	1.42	—
amster	13	11	3	23%	65.2	66.7%	1.14	5.9
NEW VISION
w0l33n	12	15	1	50%	64.3	64.7%	0.89	—
fen2k	10	18	4	50%	50.5	55.6%	0.60	—
x1nk1n	10	16	2	40%	45.3	50.0%	0.59	—
hahanz0	8	15	2	63%	44.6	52.9%	0.54	—
wonimo	7	16	4	29%	49.9	50.0%	0.47	—

Teams

Players in this match

OneUn1que amster leen rendysky kL1o x1nk1n fen2k hahanz0 w0l33n wonimo