aAa vs GenOne — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

aAa

0 : 2

GenOne wins

GenOne Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

GenOne 75% (prob 0.749)

Correct

aAa GenOne

25% 75%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Map-pool Elo -0.314 CT-side econ -0.173 Buy power -0.136

Shadow bet: 30.3u @ 1.406 → 12.3u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	aAa	vs	GenOne	Edge
overpass	0% (0/2)		51% (18/35)	-51pp
inferno	14% (1/7)		51% (39/76)	-37pp
dust2	38% (5/13)		62% (70/113)	-24pp
nuke	31% (4/13)		54% (60/111)	-23pp
anubis	67% (2/3)		48% (41/85)	+19pp
ancient	40% (4/10)		41% (50/122)	-1pp
mirage	—	·	31% (4/13)
vertigo	—	·	20% (2/10)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

aAa bans

inferno 14% WR

nuke 31% WR

GenOne bans

ancient 41% WR

anubis 48% WR

aAa pick

dust2

38% — aAa favored

Decider

overpass

100% GenOne

Decider

vertigo

GenOne pick

mirage

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

100%

GenOne

inferno

22%

78%

GenOne

dust2

38%

62%

GenOne

nuke

36%

64%

GenOne

anubis

58%

42%

aAa

ancient

49%

51%

even

aAa on left · GenOne on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
aAa
MVP Tarkky RIFLER	34	31	6	50%	76.5	66.7%	1.07	4.3
SLIE9000	34	36	12	44%	78.7	66.0%	1.04	—
Saax	31	33	17	45%	77.0	63.0%	1.01	—
Rain	25	34	15	56%	72.9	60.9%	0.85	—
Asi0K	24	34	12	54%	64.5	56.5%	0.76	—
GenOne WIN
MVP Chucky	47	25	3	28%	98.0	73.9%	1.52	—
Brooxsy RIFLER	36	33	8	67%	90.5	64.4%	1.14	6.5
Djoko ENTRY	34	32	9	74%	91.8	58.1%	1.09	6.1
Keoz SUPPORT	34	35	12	53%	78.6	59.6%	1.00	6.4
bL4SEZ	21	30	5	52%	63.9	57.5%	0.75	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
aAa
Tarkky	15	15	1	73%	82.9	75.0%	1.13	4.3
Saax	13	15	6	69%	84.3	61.1%	0.99	—
SLIE9000	10	15	4	30%	61.6	57.9%	0.74	—
Asi0K	9	13	3	56%	65.7	50.0%	0.70	—
Rain	9	16	4	67%	57.1	42.1%	0.53	—
GenOne WIN
Chucky	23	8	0	26%	113.6	66.7%	1.78	—
Brooxsy	18	12	2	78%	106.4	66.7%	1.41	6.5
Djoko	13	10	4	92%	102.1	60.0%	1.25	6.1
bL4SEZ	11	12	2	64%	77.9	73.3%	1.07	—
Keoz	8	16	7	50%	65.9	50.0%	0.59	6.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
aAa
SLIE9000	24	21	8	50%	90.3	71.4%	1.24	—
Rain	16	18	11	50%	84.1	74.1%	1.07	—
Tarkky	19	16	5	32%	71.9	60.7%	1.03	4.3
Saax	18	18	11	28%	72.3	64.3%	1.01	—
Asi0K	15	21	9	53%	63.8	60.7%	0.80	—
GenOne WIN
Chucky	24	17	3	29%	88.0	78.6%	1.34	—
Keoz	26	19	5	54%	86.5	65.5%	1.26	6.4
Djoko	21	22	5	62%	86.3	57.1%	1.00	6.1
Brooxsy	18	21	6	56%	79.9	63.0%	0.96	6.5
bL4SEZ	10	18	3	40%	55.5	48.0%	0.56	—

Teams

Players in this match

Chucky Brooxsy Djoko Tarkky SLIE9000 Saax Keoz Rain Asi0K bL4SEZ