T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-09
KOLESIE KOLESIE Winner
2 : 0
KOLESIE wins
CQ GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
RUSTEC 56% (prob 0.565)
Wrong
KOLESIE RUSTEC
44% 56%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Elo edge -0.274 Map-pool Elo +0.205 Schedule strength -0.162
Shadow bet: 4.8u @ 1.802 → -4.8u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
MIRAGE model →
Map KOLESIE vs RUSTEC Edge
ancient
72% (26/36)
38% (5/13) +34pp
nuke
68% (23/34)
43% (9/21) +25pp
overpass
50% (6/12)
73% (11/15) -23pp
anubis
50% (8/16)
30% (3/10) +20pp
mirage
58% (19/33)
40% (6/15) +18pp
dust2
31% (8/26)
46% (13/28) -15pp
inferno
· 80% (4/5)
vertigo
· 100% (1/1)
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
MIRAGE model →
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
KOLESIE bans
dust2 31% WR
overpass 50% WR
RUSTEC bans
anubis 30% WR
ancient 38% WR
KOLESIE pick
nuke
61% — KOLESIE favored
Decider
inferno
Decider
vertigo
RUSTEC pick
mirage
41% — RUSTEC favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
ancient
65%
35%
KOLESIE
nuke
61%
39%
KOLESIE
overpass
41%
59%
RUSTEC
anubis
62%
38%
KOLESIE
mirage
59%
41%
KOLESIE
dust2
40%
60%
RUSTEC
KOLESIE on left · RUSTEC on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Unverified Match — No Demo Data

Player stats are only shown for matches validated from V4 parsed demo data. No demo is available for this match.