T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08
1 : 2
ex-RUBY wins
ex-RUBY ex-RUBY Winner
CQ GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
ex-RUBY 63% (prob 0.630)
Correct
Acend ex-RUBY
37% 63%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Map-pool Elo -0.247 econ defuse rate diff -0.225 Elo edge +0.141
Shadow bet: 11.0u @ 1.637 → 7.0u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
MIRAGE model →
Map Acend vs ex-RUBY Edge
inferno
71% (15/21)
0% (0/1) +71pp
nuke
17% (1/6)
62% (28/45) -45pp
anubis
86% (6/7)
50% (6/12) +36pp
overpass
36% (10/28)
63% (17/27) -27pp
dust2
47% (16/34)
66% (37/56) -19pp
ancient
52% (16/31)
55% (22/40) -3pp
mirage
54% (19/35)
55% (29/53) -1pp
vertigo
·
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
MIRAGE model →
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Acend bans
nuke 17% WR
overpass 36% WR
ex-RUBY bans
anubis 50% WR
ancient 55% WR
Acend pick
mirage
50% — Acend favored
Decider
inferno
100% Acend
Decider
vertigo
ex-RUBY pick
dust2
58% — ex-RUBY favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
inferno
100%
0%
Acend
nuke
22%
78%
ex-RUBY
anubis
63%
37%
Acend
overpass
36%
64%
ex-RUBY
dust2
42%
58%
ex-RUBY
ancient
49%
51%
even
mirage
50%
50%
even
Acend on left · ex-RUBY on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side
Player K D A Rating
MVP Skrimo
14 14 1 1.09
h4rn
12 13 4 1.03
REDSTAR
9 13 3 0.84
SPELLAN
7 15 7 0.49
KalubeR
4 13 0 0.16
ex-RUBY WIN
MVP H4SAN4TOR
21 10 5 1.80
YumsaN
13 8 8 1.65
16 11 10 1.53
12 8 3 1.27
sh1nejezzz
8 11 1 0.65
Player K D A Rating
Skrimo
14 14 1 1.09
h4rn
12 13 4 1.03
REDSTAR
9 13 3 0.84
SPELLAN
7 15 7 0.49
KalubeR
4 13 0 0.16
ex-RUBY WIN
H4SAN4TOR
21 10 5 1.80
YumsaN
13 8 8 1.65
robo
16 11 10 1.53
relaxxie
12 8 3 1.27
sh1nejezzz
8 11 1 0.65
No per-map data for de_overpass.
No per-map data for de_mirage.