CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
ex-RUBY
63%
(prob 0.630)
Correct
Acend
ex-RUBY
37%
63%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Map-pool Elo
-0.247
econ defuse rate diff
-0.225
Elo edge
+0.141
Shadow bet: 11.0u @ 1.637
→ 7.0u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | Acend | vs | ex-RUBY | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
71% (15/21) |
|
0% (0/1) | +71pp |
|
|
17% (1/6) |
|
62% (28/45) | -45pp |
|
|
86% (6/7) |
|
50% (6/12) | +36pp |
|
|
36% (10/28) |
|
63% (17/27) | -27pp |
|
|
47% (16/34) |
|
66% (37/56) | -19pp |
|
|
52% (16/31) |
|
55% (22/40) | -3pp |
|
|
54% (19/35) |
|
55% (29/53) | -1pp |
|
|
— | · | — |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Acend bans
ex-RUBY bans
Acend pick
50% — Acend favored
Decider
100% Acend
Decider
ex-RUBY pick
58% — ex-RUBY favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
Acend
ex-RUBY
Acend
ex-RUBY
ex-RUBY
even
even
Acend on left ·
ex-RUBY on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side
No per-map data for de_overpass.
No per-map data for de_mirage.