T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08
2 : 0
Nuclear TigeRES wins
CQ GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
Nuclear TigeRES 51% (prob 0.513)
Correct
Nuclear TigeRES CYBERSHOKE
51% 49%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
econ avg equip t1 -0.122 CT-side econ -0.114 Schedule strength -0.100
Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.957 → 1.0u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
MIRAGE model →
Map Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Edge
inferno
69% (27/39)
32% (9/28) +37pp
vertigo
0% (0/1)
32% (12/38) -32pp
ancient
73% (64/88)
59% (88/150) +14pp
nuke
46% (22/48)
36% (36/101) +10pp
dust2
44% (28/63)
52% (68/130) -8pp
anubis
66% (21/32)
61% (77/126) +5pp
mirage
56% (20/36)
58% (88/152) -2pp
overpass
· 46% (12/26)
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
MIRAGE model →
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Nuclear TigeRES bans
dust2 44% WR
nuke 46% WR
CYBERSHOKE bans
inferno 32% WR
mirage 58% WR
Nuclear TigeRES pick
ancient
55% — Nuclear TigeRES favored
Decider
overpass
Decider
vertigo
100% CYBERSHOKE
CYBERSHOKE pick
anubis
48% — CYBERSHOKE favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
inferno
68%
32%
Nuclear TigeRES
vertigo
0%
100%
CYBERSHOKE
ancient
55%
45%
Nuclear TigeRES
nuke
56%
44%
Nuclear TigeRES
dust2
46%
54%
even
anubis
52%
48%
even
mirage
49%
51%
even
Nuclear TigeRES on left · CYBERSHOKE on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side
Player K D A Rating
MVP m1QUSE
37 25 7 1.40
flouzer
29 27 6 1.13
24 25 10 1.07
z1k4
25 27 15 1.05
senka
22 25 15 0.94
MVP bl1x1
31 26 11 1.35
glowiing
28 26 12 1.21
alpha
24 30 6 0.91
23 26 3 0.86
Mokuj1n
20 27 4 0.81
Player K D A Rating
flouzer
16 12 3 1.38
z1k4
12 14 9 1.09
senka
10 10 6 1.02
m1QUSE
12 12 3 1.00
ayuki
10 11 3 0.94
bl1x1
15 12 4 1.55
fluffy
13 12 2 1.10
glowiing
10 11 6 1.09
alpha
11 13 2 1.00
Mokuj1n
9 11 3 0.88
Player K D A Rating
m1QUSE
25 13 4 1.72
ayuki
14 14 7 1.16
z1k4
13 13 6 1.02
flouzer
13 15 3 0.92
senka
12 15 9 0.87
glowiing
18 15 6 1.29
bl1x1
16 14 7 1.20
alpha
13 17 4 0.86
Mokuj1n
11 16 1 0.75
fluffy
10 14 1 0.66