CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
KOLESIE
62%
(prob 0.618)
Correct
KOLESIE
ASTRAL
62%
38%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Elo edge
-0.267
Pistol rounds
+0.190
Map-pool Elo
+0.186
Shadow bet: 9.9u @ 1.666
→ 6.6u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | KOLESIE | vs | ASTRAL | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
nuke
|
68% (23/34) |
|
38% (14/37) | +30pp |
ancient
|
72% (26/36) |
|
50% (20/40) | +22pp |
dust2
|
31% (8/26) |
|
46% (17/37) | -15pp |
mirage
|
58% (19/33) |
|
50% (12/24) | +8pp |
inferno
|
— | · | 38% (9/24) | |
anubis
|
50% (8/16) |
|
50% (12/24) | 0pp |
overpass
|
50% (6/12) | · | — | |
vertigo
|
— | · | — |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
KOLESIE bans
dust2
31% WR
anubis
50% WR
ASTRAL bans
nuke
38% WR
ancient
50% WR
KOLESIE pick
mirage
54% — KOLESIE favored
Decider
overpass
Decider
vertigo
ASTRAL pick
inferno
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
nuke
KOLESIE
ancient
KOLESIE
dust2
ASTRAL
mirage
even
anubis
even
KOLESIE on left ·
ASTRAL on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side