T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-07
0 : 2
Walczaki wins
Walczaki Walczaki Winner
CQ GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
ARCRED 55% (prob 0.548)
Wrong
ARCRED Walczaki
55% 45%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Map-pool Elo +0.345 Elo edge -0.267 econ avg equip t1 -0.151
Shadow bet: 3.6u @ 1.850 → -3.6u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
MIRAGE model →
Map ARCRED vs Walczaki Edge
overpass
40% (12/30)
0% (0/2) +40pp
ancient
38% (42/110)
75% (9/12) -37pp
mirage
53% (70/133)
86% (6/7) -33pp
anubis
58% (43/74)
82% (9/11) -24pp
inferno
47% (40/86)
62% (5/8) -15pp
nuke
46% (34/74)
58% (11/19) -12pp
dust2
60% (32/53)
60% (6/10) 0pp
vertigo
56% (9/16) ·
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
MIRAGE model →
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
ARCRED bans
ancient 38% WR
inferno 47% WR
Walczaki bans
nuke 58% WR
dust2 60% WR
ARCRED pick
anubis
41% — ARCRED favored
Decider
overpass
100% ARCRED
Decider
vertigo
Walczaki pick
mirage
62% — Walczaki favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
overpass
100%
0%
ARCRED
ancient
34%
66%
Walczaki
mirage
38%
62%
Walczaki
anubis
41%
59%
Walczaki
inferno
43%
57%
Walczaki
nuke
44%
56%
Walczaki
dust2
50%
50%
even
ARCRED on left · Walczaki on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Unverified Match — No Demo Data

Player stats are only shown for matches validated from V4 parsed demo data. No demo is available for this match.