Nuclear TigeRES vs AM — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

Nuclear TigeRES Winner

2 : 0

Nuclear TigeRES wins

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

Nuclear TigeRES 52% (prob 0.515)

Correct

Nuclear TigeRES AM

52% 48%

Shadow bet: 1.2u @ 1.950 → 1.1u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Nuclear TigeRES	vs	AM	Edge
anubis	66% (21/32)		33% (2/6)	+33pp
inferno	69% (27/39)		50% (10/20)	+19pp
ancient	73% (64/88)		55% (22/40)	+18pp
dust2	44% (28/63)		55% (22/40)	-11pp
nuke	46% (22/48)		37% (11/30)	+9pp
mirage	56% (20/36)		52% (21/40)	+4pp
overpass	—	·	70% (16/23)
vertigo	0% (0/1)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Nuclear TigeRES bans

dust2 44% WR

nuke 46% WR

AM bans

anubis 33% WR

inferno 50% WR

Nuclear TigeRES pick

ancient

57% — Nuclear TigeRES favored

Decider

overpass

Decider

vertigo

AM pick

mirage

48% — AM favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

anubis

67%

33%

Nuclear TigeRES

inferno

58%

42%

Nuclear TigeRES

ancient

57%

43%

Nuclear TigeRES

dust2

44%

56%

nuke

55%

45%

Nuclear TigeRES

mirage

52%

48%

even

Nuclear TigeRES on left · AM on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Nuclear TigeRES WIN
MVP flouzer RIFLER	41	22	14	49%	107.2	86.8%	1.70	7.7
m1QUSE RIFLER	36	21	8	44%	109.3	74.3%	1.55	7.8
senka ENTRY	32	19	13	50%	83.8	81.6%	1.42	7.2
ayuki	22	20	12	36%	76.9	69.7%	1.11	—
z1k4 AWP	23	22	9	22%	75.9	67.7%	1.07	8.3
AM
MVP k1to ENTRY	25	29	4	60%	74.7	56.8%	0.89	5.5
myltsi RIFLER	21	29	8	62%	76.5	47.2%	0.75	6.5
Marix RIFLER	21	32	7	67%	63.9	54.1%	0.71	6.9
L00m1 AWP	19	31	10	68%	57.2	51.4%	0.64	6.8
Altekz RIFLER	16	31	5	50%	57.0	51.5%	0.55	6.5

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Nuclear TigeRES WIN
flouzer	21	8	3	57%	104.1	94.4%	1.87	7.7
m1QUSE	17	8	3	41%	120.0	80.0%	1.75	7.8
ayuki	14	8	2	36%	111.2	85.7%	1.62	—
z1k4	14	9	6	21%	95.4	82.4%	1.43	8.3
senka	10	8	5	30%	51.4	76.5%	1.07	7.2
AM
myltsi	10	14	4	80%	77.6	41.2%	0.70	6.5
k1to	9	14	2	56%	60.8	52.9%	0.67	5.5
Marix	7	15	2	86%	53.4	41.2%	0.43	6.9
Altekz	7	15	1	57%	52.5	37.5%	0.39	6.5
L00m1	6	16	3	67%	55.1	29.4%	0.27	6.8

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Nuclear TigeRES WIN
senka	22	11	8	59%	110.0	85.7%	1.70	7.2
flouzer	20	14	11	40%	110.1	80.0%	1.54	7.7
m1QUSE	19	13	5	47%	101.2	70.0%	1.40	7.8
ayuki	8	12	10	38%	51.5	57.9%	0.73	—
z1k4	9	13	3	22%	56.5	52.9%	0.70	8.3
AM
k1to	16	15	2	63%	86.5	60.0%	1.08	5.5
L00m1	13	15	7	69%	59.1	70.0%	0.96	6.8
Marix	14	17	5	57%	72.8	65.0%	0.95	6.9
myltsi	11	15	4	45%	75.5	52.6%	0.79	6.5
Altekz	9	16	4	44%	61.3	64.7%	0.71	6.5

Teams

Nuclear TigeRES

View team →

Players in this match

flouzer m1QUSE senka ayuki z1k4 k1to myltsi Marix L00m1 Altekz