TDK vs Walczaki — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

TDK Winner

2 : 0

TDK wins

Walczaki

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

TDK 67% (prob 0.673)

Correct

TDK Walczaki

67% 33%

Shadow bet: 15.0u @ 1.545 → 8.2u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	TDK	vs	Walczaki	Edge
overpass	84% (27/32)		0% (0/2)	+84pp
nuke	0% (0/1)		58% (11/19)	-58pp
mirage	61% (11/18)		86% (6/7)	-25pp
inferno	40% (4/10)		62% (5/8)	-22pp
ancient	61% (14/23)		75% (9/12)	-14pp
dust2	70% (21/30)		60% (6/10)	+10pp
anubis	79% (15/19)		82% (9/11)	-3pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

TDK bans

inferno 40% WR

mirage 61% WR

Walczaki bans

dust2 60% WR

ancient 75% WR

TDK pick

anubis

49% — TDK favored

Decider

nuke

100% Walczaki

Decider

vertigo

Walczaki pick

overpass

0% — Walczaki favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

100%

TDK

nuke

100%

Walczaki

mirage

41%

59%

Walczaki

inferno

39%

61%

Walczaki

ancient

45%

55%

Walczaki

dust2

54%

46%

even

anubis

49%

51%

even

TDK on left · Walczaki on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
TDK WIN
MVP Xant3r SUPPORT	37	24	15	57%	97.5	86.8%	1.55	7.8
ArtFr0st	34	20	19	21%	94.1	84.2%	1.52	—
nafany RIFLER	41	28	14	49%	104.5	74.4%	1.50	8.3
Ax1Le SUPPORT	30	20	18	53%	87.8	80.6%	1.41	8.1
sugaR	25	25	16	56%	80.2	71.4%	1.12	—
Walczaki
MVP bajmi RIFLER	24	31	9	50%	76.0	62.2%	0.90	7.7
olimp ENTRY	27	35	8	48%	89.9	53.9%	0.88	7.7
sk1tt	27	34	7	33%	76.8	52.5%	0.84	—
moonwalk RIFLER	25	36	6	68%	59.1	52.5%	0.71	7.7
SaMey AWP	14	32	6	43%	38.2	46.0%	0.40	8.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
TDK WIN
nafany	26	14	5	50%	131.3	84.2%	1.91	8.3
ArtFr0st	18	9	9	11%	91.1	94.7%	1.66	—
Ax1Le	18	10	8	50%	98.2	84.2%	1.57	8.1
Xant3r	14	12	11	64%	88.6	94.4%	1.41	7.8
sugaR	11	13	11	55%	81.7	70.6%	1.05	—
Walczaki
bajmi	14	16	5	57%	93.0	61.1%	1.03	7.7
olimp	13	18	5	46%	95.3	52.6%	0.86	7.7
sk1tt	10	17	6	40%	64.7	55.0%	0.68	—
moonwalk	12	19	3	75%	56.1	50.0%	0.63	7.7
SaMey	9	18	0	44%	40.6	47.4%	0.44	8.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
TDK WIN
Xant3r	23	12	4	52%	105.6	80.0%	1.68	7.8
ArtFr0st	16	11	10	31%	97.1	73.7%	1.38	—
Ax1Le	12	10	10	58%	76.2	76.5%	1.22	8.1
sugaR	14	12	5	57%	78.8	72.2%	1.19	—
nafany	15	14	9	47%	79.1	65.0%	1.11	8.3
Walczaki
sk1tt	17	17	1	29%	88.9	50.0%	1.00	—
olimp	14	17	3	50%	84.7	55.0%	0.90	7.7
moonwalk	13	17	3	62%	62.0	55.0%	0.79	7.7
bajmi	10	15	4	40%	59.8	63.2%	0.77	7.7
SaMey	5	14	6	40%	35.6	44.4%	0.36	8.3

Teams

Players in this match

Xant3r ArtFr0st nafany Ax1Le sugaR bajmi olimp sk1tt moonwalk SaMey