ROUNDS vs OLDBOYS PL — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08

ROUNDS

0 : 2

OLDBOYS PL wins

OLDBOYS PL Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

ROUNDS 51% (prob 0.513)

Wrong

ROUNDS OLDBOYS PL

51% 49%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

econ anti eco wr t1 -0.101 Map-pool Elo -0.096 30-day form +0.077

Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.957 → -1.0u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	ROUNDS	vs	OLDBOYS PL	Edge
anubis	0% (0/2)		100% (2/2)	-100pp
inferno	25% (1/4)		100% (1/1)	-75pp
nuke	14% (1/7)		78% (7/9)	-64pp
dust2	0% (0/2)		40% (2/5)	-40pp
mirage	25% (1/4)		57% (4/7)	-32pp
ancient	50% (3/6)		67% (6/9)	-17pp
overpass	—	·	67% (2/3)
vertigo	0% (0/1)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Per-Map Win Probability

anubis

100%

OLDBOYS PL

inferno

20%

80%

OLDBOYS PL

nuke

15%

85%

OLDBOYS PL

dust2

100%

OLDBOYS PL

mirage

30%

70%

OLDBOYS PL

ancient

43%

57%

OLDBOYS PL

Veto simulation requires ≥4 maps with data for both teams (min. 3 maps played each).

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ROUNDS
MVP jelo	21	29	11	62%	76.4	67.6%	0.90	—
p12	24	29	9	63%	71.9	51.4%	0.83	—
ykis	22	28	5	45%	64.3	52.6%	0.77	—
123i223123	25	34	3	40%	65.3	51.3%	0.74	—
-Monoxx	23	35	8	70%	75.0	51.2%	0.73	—
OLDBOYS PL WIN
MVP MICHU	41	21	7	56%	113.1	88.6%	1.78	—
ToM223	38	25	14	42%	100.6	76.2%	1.44	—
gwizdakk	32	25	6	47%	85.4	67.5%	1.20	—
DARKO	26	24	8	58%	75.5	71.8%	1.10	—
tudsoN	24	27	7	21%	77.1	54.1%	0.89	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ROUNDS
ykis	8	11	1	50%	50.6	56.3%	0.71	—
123i223123	10	14	1	30%	65.7	46.7%	0.70	—
jelo	7	13	5	57%	69.5	56.3%	0.67	—
p12	10	14	0	30%	56.4	41.2%	0.61	—
-Monoxx	8	16	6	75%	71.5	50.0%	0.60	—
OLDBOYS PL WIN
MICHU	18	8	1	56%	104.5	86.7%	1.79	—
ToM223	20	9	5	50%	110.1	89.5%	1.75	—
gwizdakk	14	9	4	50%	101.1	70.6%	1.35	—
DARKO	10	10	3	50%	56.1	64.7%	0.93	—
tudsoN	9	10	3	0%	68.1	60.0%	0.90	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ROUNDS
jelo	14	16	6	64%	81.7	76.2%	1.08	—
p12	14	15	9	86%	85.0	60.0%	1.02	—
-Monoxx	15	19	2	67%	77.7	52.2%	0.82	—
ykis	14	17	4	43%	74.2	50.0%	0.82	—
123i223123	15	20	2	47%	65.1	54.2%	0.77	—
OLDBOYS PL WIN
MICHU	23	13	6	57%	119.7	90.0%	1.78	—
DARKO	16	14	5	63%	90.5	77.3%	1.23	—
ToM223	18	16	9	33%	92.7	65.2%	1.18	—
gwizdakk	18	16	2	44%	73.8	65.2%	1.09	—
tudsoN	15	17	4	33%	83.3	50.0%	0.89	—

Teams

Players in this match

MICHU ToM223 gwizdakk DARKO jelo tudsoN p12 ykis 123i223123 -Monoxx