T1 BO3 CS2 2026-06-09
Monte Monte Winner
2 : 0
Monte wins
CQ GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
Monte 51% (prob 0.513)
Correct
Monte paiN
51% 49%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
econ anti eco wr t1 -0.107 30-day form +0.097 Elo edge -0.089
Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.957 → 1.0u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
MIRAGE model →
Map Monte vs paiN Edge
ancient
53% (83/158)
39% (9/23) +14pp
inferno
62% (8/13)
49% (48/97) +13pp
nuke
56% (96/172)
67% (112/167) -11pp
mirage
52% (96/184)
62% (75/121) -10pp
overpass
44% (17/39)
34% (12/35) +10pp
vertigo
59% (34/58)
66% (59/90) -7pp
anubis
58% (67/115)
64% (75/118) -6pp
dust2
53% (56/105)
51% (38/74) +2pp
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
MIRAGE model →
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Monte bans
overpass 44% WR
mirage 52% WR
paiN bans
ancient 39% WR
inferno 49% WR
Monte pick
vertigo
47% — Monte favored
Decider
dust2
51% Monte
Decider
anubis
52% paiN
paiN pick
nuke
54% — paiN favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
ancient
58%
42%
Monte
inferno
56%
44%
Monte
nuke
46%
54%
even
mirage
46%
54%
even
overpass
56%
44%
Monte
vertigo
47%
53%
even
anubis
48%
52%
even
dust2
51%
49%
even
Monte on left · paiN on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Unverified Match — No Demo Data

Player stats are only shown for matches validated from V4 parsed demo data. No demo is available for this match.