MIBR vs B8 — CounterQuant

T1 BO3 CS2 2026-06-08

MIBR

1 : 2

B8 wins

B8 Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

B8 68% (prob 0.675)

Correct

MIBR B8

32% 68%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

econ defuse rate diff +0.287 Pistol rounds +0.220 Schedule strength -0.188

Shadow bet: 16.3u @ 1.541 → 8.8u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	MIBR	B8	Edge
mirage	47% (43/91)	62% (121/195)	-15pp
inferno	66% (63/96)	51% (43/84)	+15pp
dust2	38% (3/8)	52% (34/66)	-14pp
anubis	63% (69/109)	53% (49/92)	+10pp
vertigo	60% (49/82)	52% (15/29)	+8pp
ancient	65% (72/111)	59% (94/159)	+6pp
overpass	47% (14/30)	41% (7/17)	+6pp
nuke	59% (72/122)	55% (45/82)	+4pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

MIBR bans

dust2 38% WR

mirage 47% WR

B8 bans

overpass 41% WR

inferno 51% WR

MIBR pick

ancient

52% — MIBR favored

Decider

anubis

54% MIBR

Decider

vertigo

54% MIBR

B8 pick

nuke

48% — B8 favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

mirage

43%

57%

inferno

56%

44%

MIBR

dust2

42%

58%

anubis

54%

46%

even

vertigo

54%

46%

even

ancient

52%

48%

even

overpass

53%

47%

even

nuke

52%

48%

even

MIBR on left · B8 on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR
MVP insani RIFLER	55	45	22	53%	101.1	68.3%	1.29	9.3
brnz4n RIFLER	45	49	10	64%	89.5	61.3%	1.02	8.9
kl1m RIFLER	44	44	10	41%	78.4	58.3%	1.00	9.4
venomzera RIFLER	37	46	17	54%	74.9	63.2%	0.92	9.0
LNZ SUPPORT	35	44	20	40%	67.8	62.7%	0.89	8.9
B8 WIN
MVP s1zzi	57	42	10	30%	100.4	75.0%	1.40	—
npl RIFLER	53	48	17	62%	94.2	64.5%	1.19	9.5
esenthial RIFLER	47	40	15	64%	83.8	66.1%	1.17	9.4
kensizor ENTRY	39	45	14	46%	67.9	66.7%	0.95	9.4
alex666 RIFLER	34	45	19	53%	71.1	60.7%	0.85	9.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR
insani	23	14	5	48%	114.8	61.9%	1.50	9.3
kl1m	19	17	3	53%	93.6	75.0%	1.29	9.4
venomzera	11	15	10	55%	81.0	73.7%	0.99	9.0
brnz4n	9	16	5	44%	68.4	55.0%	0.67	8.9
LNZ	8	16	6	38%	42.5	55.0%	0.55	8.9
B8 WIN
esenthial	21	12	7	67%	93.1	71.4%	1.47	9.4
s1zzi	17	14	3	35%	91.2	79.0%	1.33	—
npl	19	17	4	63%	89.8	71.4%	1.24	9.5
alex666	15	15	10	67%	102.9	70.0%	1.20	9.4
kensizor	8	14	8	38%	55.8	72.2%	0.78	9.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR WIN
brnz4n	20	15	3	75%	118.9	65.0%	1.40	8.9
venomzera	19	14	5	53%	97.7	63.2%	1.33	9.0
LNZ	14	11	8	36%	70.7	77.8%	1.25	8.9
kl1m	12	12	2	42%	77.6	44.4%	0.87	9.4
insani	8	16	9	63%	61.6	70.0%	0.73	9.3
B8
s1zzi	15	14	4	60%	97.6	77.8%	1.27	—
npl	18	15	4	50%	99.7	57.9%	1.22	9.5
kensizor	13	15	3	38%	72.7	63.2%	0.94	9.4
esenthial	11	14	5	64%	74.9	61.1%	0.89	9.4
alex666	11	17	5	36%	58.0	60.0%	0.73	9.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR
insani	24	15	8	54%	124.0	72.7%	1.61	9.3
brnz4n	16	18	2	63%	82.0	63.6%	0.99	8.9
LNZ	13	17	6	46%	89.4	57.1%	0.90	8.9
kl1m	13	15	5	23%	65.3	54.6%	0.84	9.4
venomzera	7	17	2	57%	46.0	52.6%	0.45	9.0
B8 WIN
s1zzi	25	14	3	8%	110.1	69.6%	1.55	—
npl	16	16	9	75%	93.7	63.6%	1.11	9.5
kensizor	18	16	3	56%	73.4	65.2%	1.09	9.4
esenthial	15	14	3	60%	82.1	65.0%	1.09	9.4
alex666	8	13	4	50%	53.4	52.4%	0.63	9.4

Teams

MIBR

View team →

Players in this match

s1zzi insani npl esenthial brnz4n kl1m kensizor venomzera LNZ alex666