Spirit vs 9z — CounterQuant

T1 BO3 CS2 2026-06-07

Spirit Winner

2 : 0

Spirit wins

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

Spirit 51% (prob 0.513)

Correct

Spirit 9z

51% 49%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

econ anti eco wr t1 -0.103 Map-pool Elo +0.098 Elo edge -0.096

Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.957 → 1.0u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Spirit	vs	9z	Edge
inferno	38% (3/8)		62% (58/94)	-24pp
anubis	66% (42/64)		42% (19/45)	+24pp
dust2	78% (57/73)		62% (56/90)	+16pp
mirage	64% (78/122)		50% (36/72)	+14pp
ancient	75% (58/77)		62% (69/112)	+13pp
overpass	59% (22/37)		62% (43/69)	-3pp
nuke	62% (62/100)		64% (103/160)	-2pp
vertigo	62% (21/34)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Spirit bans

inferno 38% WR

overpass 59% WR

9z bans

anubis 42% WR

mirage 50% WR

Spirit pick

dust2

56% — Spirit favored

Decider

ancient

55% Spirit

Decider

vertigo

9z pick

nuke

51% — 9z favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

38%

62%

anubis

61%

39%

Spirit

dust2

56%

44%

Spirit

mirage

56%

44%

Spirit

ancient

55%

45%

Spirit

overpass

49%

51%

even

nuke

49%

51%

even

Spirit on left · 9z on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Spirit WIN
MVP donk	48	16	11	54%	163.3	93.3%	2.40	—
tN1R RIFLER	30	19	8	60%	110.8	79.3%	1.57	9.9
sh1ro AWP	24	13	5	33%	98.9	80.8%	1.52	10.0
zont1x SUPPORT	20	12	8	30%	68.9	76.9%	1.29	9.9
magixx SUPPORT	16	16	8	81%	81.7	70.8%	1.09	9.9
9z
MVP luchov RIFLER	21	27	1	71%	79.7	50.0%	0.81	9.7
dgt RIFLER	17	29	5	65%	73.5	56.7%	0.70	9.8
max RIFLER	15	27	4	67%	70.5	48.3%	0.60	9.6
meyern AWP	11	27	4	45%	54.5	46.4%	0.42	9.7
HUASOPEEK RIFLER	12	28	3	83%	60.0	41.4%	0.41	9.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Spirit WIN
donk	25	9	4	60%	172.4	87.5%	2.33	—
tN1R	15	9	3	53%	110.0	73.3%	1.51	9.9
sh1ro	11	8	1	36%	97.8	75.0%	1.37	10.0
zont1x	11	6	3	45%	63.3	66.7%	1.19	9.9
magixx	8	8	3	75%	78.3	75.0%	1.11	9.9
9z
luchov	11	13	1	55%	79.3	56.3%	0.89	9.7
dgt	9	15	2	56%	73.2	50.0%	0.66	9.8
meyern	7	14	2	43%	66.7	50.0%	0.55	9.7
max	7	14	3	43%	69.9	46.7%	0.55	9.6
HUASOPEEK	6	14	3	83%	56.9	46.7%	0.45	9.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Spirit WIN
donk	23	7	7	48%	152.9	100.0%	2.48	—
sh1ro	13	5	4	31%	99.9	85.7%	1.65	10.0
tN1R	15	10	5	67%	111.6	85.7%	1.63	9.9
zont1x	9	6	5	11%	76.6	90.9%	1.43	9.9
magixx	8	8	5	88%	85.0	66.7%	1.08	9.9
9z
dgt	8	14	3	75%	73.9	64.3%	0.75	9.8
luchov	10	14	0	90%	80.3	42.9%	0.72	9.7
max	8	13	1	88%	71.1	50.0%	0.66	9.6
HUASOPEEK	6	14	0	83%	63.3	35.7%	0.36	9.7
meyern	4	13	2	50%	42.3	42.9%	0.28	9.7

Teams

Spirit

View team →

Players in this match

donk tN1R sh1ro zont1x magixx luchov dgt max meyern HUASOPEEK