G2 vs FUT — CounterQuant

T1 BO3 CS2 2026-06-07

1 : 2

FUT wins

FUT Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

FUT 55% (prob 0.550)

Correct

G2 FUT

45% 55%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

wr10 t2 -0.120 Rest days +0.097 30-day form -0.093

Shadow bet: 3.6u @ 1.843 → 3.0u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	G2	vs	FUT	Edge
mirage	58% (49/84)		75% (40/53)	-17pp
anubis	54% (28/52)		38% (3/8)	+16pp
dust2	61% (43/70)		53% (20/38)	+8pp
overpass	54% (13/24)		47% (9/19)	+7pp
inferno	63% (74/117)		57% (4/7)	+6pp
nuke	62% (44/71)		65% (15/23)	-3pp
ancient	62% (55/89)		59% (23/39)	+3pp
vertigo	55% (16/29)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

G2 bans

anubis 54% WR

mirage 58% WR

FUT bans

overpass 47% WR

dust2 53% WR

G2 pick

inferno

52% — G2 favored

Decider

ancient

51% G2

Decider

vertigo

FUT pick

nuke

51% — FUT favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

mirage

44%

56%

FUT

anubis

59%

41%

dust2

54%

46%

even

overpass

53%

47%

even

inferno

52%

48%

even

nuke

49%

51%

even

ancient

51%

49%

even

G2 on left · FUT on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
G2
MVP HeavyGod RIFLER	43	38	13	63%	95.9	68.6%	1.23	9.7
huNter- SUPPORT	46	42	13	61%	84.3	64.9%	1.13	9.7
NertZ RIFLER	38	39	10	55%	87.4	61.1%	1.03	9.6
SunPayus AWP	36	39	12	25%	63.6	61.0%	0.91	9.8
MATYS ENTRY	29	44	12	69%	62.8	58.2%	0.74	9.6
FUT WIN
MVP dem0n RIFLER	48	38	11	56%	89.9	68.4%	1.24	9.6
Krabeni ENTRY	48	40	14	63%	85.2	59.3%	1.13	9.5
lauNX RIFLER	44	41	18	50%	86.2	60.3%	1.09	9.6
cmtry AWP	32	35	13	19%	74.4	66.0%	0.99	9.7
dziugss RIFLER	32	40	15	56%	78.5	68.8%	0.98	9.6

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
G2
HeavyGod	17	13	4	65%	121.2	80.0%	1.58	9.7
huNter-	13	16	2	77%	87.7	56.3%	0.93	9.7
SunPayus	7	12	3	57%	57.9	46.7%	0.58	9.8
MATYS	5	16	3	100%	47.4	41.2%	0.28	9.6
NertZ	2	14	5	100%	39.9	50.0%	0.23	9.6
FUT WIN
Krabeni	26	9	2	58%	129.2	88.9%	2.12	9.5
dem0n	19	8	2	32%	104.3	75.0%	1.72	9.6
lauNX	17	10	8	53%	129.4	75.0%	1.66	9.6
dziugss	6	10	7	67%	72.1	83.3%	0.95	9.6
cmtry	7	11	4	29%	57.2	64.3%	0.76	9.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
G2
huNter-	20	13	2	45%	91.0	61.9%	1.31	9.7
NertZ	17	15	4	41%	93.2	71.4%	1.22	9.6
SunPayus	15	18	4	20%	59.4	62.5%	0.87	9.8
MATYS	12	17	8	58%	69.6	61.9%	0.84	9.6
HeavyGod	11	15	5	73%	71.6	50.0%	0.76	9.7
FUT WIN
cmtry	14	12	6	7%	92.7	77.8%	1.28	9.7
Krabeni	19	16	9	63%	92.2	60.9%	1.18	9.5
dem0n	17	16	4	65%	90.9	72.7%	1.18	9.6
dziugss	15	14	4	67%	81.8	73.7%	1.17	9.6
lauNX	13	17	6	46%	59.4	52.2%	0.75	9.6

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
G2 WIN
NertZ	19	10	1	63%	125.1	58.8%	1.55	9.6
HeavyGod	15	10	4	53%	102.8	81.3%	1.49	9.7
SunPayus	14	9	5	14%	72.8	70.0%	1.20	9.8
huNter-	13	13	9	69%	74.5	75.0%	1.11	9.7
MATYS	12	11	1	67%	69.7	70.6%	1.07	9.6
FUT
lauNX	14	14	4	50%	82.4	57.9%	1.01	9.6
dem0n	12	14	5	83%	76.7	57.9%	0.91	9.6
cmtry	11	12	3	27%	69.3	55.6%	0.88	9.7
dziugss	11	16	4	36%	79.4	52.9%	0.78	9.6
Krabeni	3	15	3	100%	32.2	27.8%	0.08	9.5

Teams

View team →

FUT

View team →

Players in this match

dem0n HeavyGod Krabeni huNter- lauNX NertZ cmtry dziugss SunPayus MATYS