CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
Legacy
56%
(prob 0.565)
Wrong
Monte
Legacy
44%
56%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Map-pool Elo
-0.322
Rest days
+0.099
Schedule strength
-0.097
Shadow bet: 5.1u @ 1.802
→ -5.1u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | Monte | vs | Legacy | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
vertigo
|
59% (34/58) |
|
43% (3/7) | +16pp |
mirage
|
52% (96/184) |
|
65% (64/98) | -13pp |
overpass
|
44% (17/39) |
|
55% (16/29) | -11pp |
ancient
|
53% (83/158) |
|
61% (62/102) | -8pp |
dust2
|
53% (56/105) |
|
60% (43/72) | -7pp |
nuke
|
56% (96/172) |
|
62% (48/78) | -6pp |
anubis
|
58% (67/115) |
|
52% (35/67) | +6pp |
inferno
|
62% (8/13) |
|
64% (63/99) | -2pp |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Monte bans
overpass
44% WR
mirage
52% WR
Legacy bans
vertigo
43% WR
anubis
52% WR
Monte pick
inferno
49% — Monte favored
Decider
dust2
53% Legacy
Decider
ancient
54% Legacy
Legacy pick
nuke
53% — Legacy favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
vertigo
Monte
mirage
Legacy
overpass
Legacy
ancient
even
dust2
even
nuke
even
anubis
even
inferno
even
Monte on left ·
Legacy on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side