CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-NEXUS v1 · Primary Prediction
B8
66%
(prob 0.664)
Wrong
B8
M80
66%
34%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Market price
+0.237
econ defuse rate diff
-0.222
Buy power
+0.219
Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.333
→ -1.0u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | B8 | vs | M80 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
overpass
|
41% (7/17) |
|
69% (29/42) | -28pp |
vertigo
|
52% (15/29) |
|
69% (29/42) | -17pp |
ancient
|
59% (94/159) |
|
72% (87/120) | -13pp |
mirage
|
62% (121/195) |
|
71% (64/90) | -9pp |
inferno
|
51% (43/84) |
|
60% (50/83) | -9pp |
nuke
|
55% (45/82) |
|
47% (8/17) | +8pp |
anubis
|
53% (49/92) |
|
59% (38/64) | -6pp |
dust2
|
52% (34/66) |
|
56% (35/63) | -4pp |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
B8 bans
overpass
41% WR
inferno
51% WR
M80 bans
nuke
47% WR
dust2
56% WR
B8 pick
mirage
47% — B8 favored
Decider
anubis
53% M80
Decider
vertigo
57% M80
M80 pick
ancient
55% — M80 favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
overpass
M80
vertigo
M80
ancient
M80
mirage
even
inferno
even
nuke
even
anubis
even
dust2
even
B8 on left ·
M80 on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side