CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
Spirit
55%
(prob 0.548)
Correct
Spirit
MIBR
55%
45%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
econ anti eco wr t1
-0.099
Map-pool Elo
+0.096
Elo edge
-0.096
Shadow bet: 3.5u @ 1.850
→ 3.0u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | Spirit | vs | MIBR | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
dust2
|
78% (57/73) |
|
38% (3/8) | +40pp |
inferno
|
38% (3/8) |
|
66% (63/96) | -28pp |
mirage
|
64% (78/122) |
|
47% (43/91) | +17pp |
overpass
|
59% (22/37) |
|
47% (14/30) | +12pp |
ancient
|
75% (58/77) |
|
65% (72/111) | +10pp |
nuke
|
62% (62/100) |
|
59% (72/122) | +3pp |
anubis
|
66% (42/64) |
|
63% (69/109) | +3pp |
vertigo
|
62% (21/34) |
|
60% (49/82) | +2pp |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Spirit bans
inferno
38% WR
overpass
59% WR
MIBR bans
dust2
38% WR
mirage
47% WR
Spirit pick
ancient
54% — Spirit favored
Decider
nuke
51% Spirit
Decider
vertigo
51% Spirit
MIBR pick
anubis
49% — MIBR favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
dust2
Spirit
inferno
MIBR
mirage
Spirit
overpass
Spirit
ancient
even
nuke
even
anubis
even
vertigo
even
Spirit on left ·
MIBR on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side