T1 BO1 CS2 2026-06-06
0 : 1
BIG wins
BIG BIG Winner
CQ GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
BIG 68% (prob 0.675)
Correct
paiN BIG
32% 68%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Pistol rounds +0.168 CT-side econ -0.161 Buy power -0.159
Shadow bet: 17.9u @ 1.541 → 9.7u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
MIRAGE model →
Map paiN vs BIG Edge
overpass
34% (12/35)
62% (47/76) -28pp
nuke
67% (112/167)
45% (48/106) +22pp
ancient
39% (9/23)
58% (82/141) -19pp
anubis
64% (75/118)
47% (32/68) +17pp
mirage
62% (75/121)
51% (62/122) +11pp
vertigo
66% (59/90)
58% (42/73) +8pp
dust2
51% (38/74)
54% (46/85) -3pp
inferno
49% (48/97)
51% (47/93) -2pp
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
MIRAGE model →
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
paiN bans
overpass 34% WR
ancient 39% WR
BIG bans
nuke 45% WR
anubis 47% WR
paiN pick
vertigo
53% — paiN favored
Decider
mirage
55% paiN
Decider
inferno
51% BIG
BIG pick
dust2
51% — BIG favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
overpass
35%
65%
BIG
nuke
60%
40%
paiN
ancient
40%
60%
BIG
anubis
58%
42%
paiN
mirage
55%
45%
paiN
vertigo
53%
47%
even
dust2
49%
51%
even
inferno
49%
51%
even
paiN on left · BIG on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side
Player K D A Rating
MVP piriajr
21 16 5 1.29
saffee
13 17 10 0.89
snow
11 17 4 0.73
v$m
10 17 4 0.64
biguzera
7 18 4 0.32
BIG WIN
MVP blameF
24 7 3 2.08
JDC
24 10 5 1.94
faveN
15 17 5 1.16
tabseN
11 14 7 1.01
gr1ks
13 17 8 0.99
Player K D A Rating
piriajr
21 16 5 1.29
saffee
13 17 10 0.89
snow
11 17 4 0.73
v$m
10 17 4 0.64
biguzera
7 18 4 0.32
BIG WIN
blameF
24 7 3 2.08
JDC
24 10 5 1.94
faveN
15 17 5 1.16
tabseN
11 14 7 1.01
gr1ks
13 17 8 0.99