CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-NEXUS v1 · Primary Prediction
G2
70%
(prob 0.696)
Correct
G2
Monte
70%
30%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Market price
+0.375
wr10 t2
-0.120
Rest days
+0.097
Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.212
→ 0.2u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | G2 | vs | Monte | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
overpass
|
54% (13/24) |
|
44% (17/39) | +10pp |
ancient
|
62% (55/89) |
|
53% (83/158) | +9pp |
dust2
|
61% (43/70) |
|
53% (56/105) | +8pp |
mirage
|
58% (49/84) |
|
52% (96/184) | +6pp |
nuke
|
62% (44/71) |
|
56% (96/172) | +6pp |
anubis
|
54% (28/52) |
|
58% (67/115) | -4pp |
vertigo
|
55% (16/29) |
|
59% (34/58) | -4pp |
inferno
|
63% (74/117) |
|
62% (8/13) | +1pp |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
G2 bans
overpass
54% WR
anubis
54% WR
Monte bans
mirage
52% WR
ancient
53% WR
G2 pick
inferno
50% — G2 favored
Decider
nuke
53% G2
Decider
dust2
54% G2
Monte pick
vertigo
52% — Monte favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
overpass
G2
ancient
even
dust2
even
mirage
even
nuke
even
anubis
even
vertigo
even
inferno
even
G2 on left ·
Monte on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side