CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-NEXUS v1 · Primary Prediction
Astralis
57%
(prob 0.567)
Wrong
Astralis
9z
57%
43%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Market price
+0.032
econ anti eco wr t1
-0.105
Map-pool Elo
+0.103
Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.724
→ -1.0u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | Astralis | vs | 9z | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
anubis
|
0% (0/1) |
|
42% (19/45) | -42pp |
dust2
|
37% (19/52) |
|
62% (56/90) | -25pp |
mirage
|
40% (34/86) |
|
50% (36/72) | -10pp |
nuke
|
57% (60/106) |
|
64% (103/160) | -7pp |
inferno
|
55% (44/80) |
|
62% (58/94) | -7pp |
overpass
|
67% (44/66) |
|
62% (43/69) | +5pp |
ancient
|
63% (59/93) |
|
62% (69/112) | +1pp |
vertigo
|
51% (19/37) | · | — |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Astralis bans
dust2
37% WR
inferno
55% WR
9z bans
mirage
50% WR
overpass
62% WR
Astralis pick
ancient
50% — Astralis favored
Decider
anubis
100% 9z
Decider
vertigo
9z pick
nuke
53% — 9z favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
anubis
9z
dust2
9z
mirage
9z
nuke
even
inferno
even
overpass
even
ancient
even
Astralis on left ·
9z on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side