CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
BIG
55%
(prob 0.550)
Wrong
Monte
BIG
45%
55%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
wr10 t2
-0.120
Map-pool Elo
+0.100
Rest days
+0.097
Shadow bet: 3.7u @ 1.843
→ -3.7u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | Monte | vs | BIG | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
overpass
|
44% (17/39) |
|
62% (47/76) | -18pp |
nuke
|
56% (96/172) |
|
45% (48/106) | +11pp |
inferno
|
62% (8/13) |
|
51% (47/93) | +11pp |
anubis
|
58% (67/115) |
|
47% (32/68) | +11pp |
ancient
|
53% (83/158) |
|
58% (82/141) | -5pp |
mirage
|
52% (96/184) |
|
51% (62/122) | +1pp |
dust2
|
53% (56/105) |
|
54% (46/85) | -1pp |
vertigo
|
59% (34/58) |
|
58% (42/73) | +1pp |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
Monte bans
overpass
44% WR
mirage
52% WR
BIG bans
nuke
45% WR
anubis
47% WR
Monte pick
inferno
55% — Monte favored
Decider
dust2
50% Monte
Decider
ancient
52% BIG
BIG pick
vertigo
50% — BIG favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
overpass
BIG
nuke
Monte
inferno
Monte
anubis
Monte
ancient
even
mirage
even
dust2
even
vertigo
even
Monte on left ·
BIG on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Unverified Match — No Demo Data
Player stats are only shown for matches validated from V4 parsed demo data. No demo is available for this match.