CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction
TYLOO
75%
(prob 0.749)
Correct
paiN
TYLOO
25%
75%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Buy power
-0.189
Schedule strength
-0.182
CT-side econ
-0.165
Shadow bet: 32.7u @ 1.406
→ 13.3u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | paiN | vs | TYLOO | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
dust2
|
51% (38/74) |
|
0% (0/1) | +51pp |
overpass
|
34% (12/35) |
|
51% (20/39) | -17pp |
ancient
|
39% (9/23) |
|
50% (37/74) | -11pp |
vertigo
|
66% (59/90) |
|
55% (6/11) | +11pp |
mirage
|
62% (75/121) |
|
70% (57/82) | -8pp |
nuke
|
67% (112/167) |
|
60% (40/67) | +7pp |
inferno
|
49% (48/97) |
|
56% (60/108) | -7pp |
anubis
|
64% (75/118) |
|
67% (36/54) | -3pp |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
paiN bans
overpass
34% WR
inferno
49% WR
TYLOO bans
ancient
50% WR
vertigo
55% WR
paiN pick
nuke
53% — paiN favored
Decider
anubis
51% TYLOO
Decider
dust2
100% paiN
TYLOO pick
mirage
53% — TYLOO favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
dust2
paiN
overpass
TYLOO
ancient
TYLOO
vertigo
paiN
mirage
even
nuke
even
inferno
even
anubis
even
paiN on left ·
TYLOO on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side