CQ
GESUS
CQ-GESUS-NEXUS v1 · Primary Prediction
9z
54%
(prob 0.538)
Correct
9z
FlyQuest
54%
46%
Why — Top Feature Drivers
Market price
+0.042
econ defuse rate diff
+0.316
econ plant rate diff
+0.124
Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.802
→ 0.8u
MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates
Historical results — all recorded matches on each map
| Map | 9z | vs | FlyQuest | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
anubis
|
42% (19/45) |
|
72% (29/40) | -30pp |
overpass
|
62% (43/69) |
|
33% (2/6) | +29pp |
nuke
|
64% (103/160) |
|
41% (13/32) | +23pp |
inferno
|
62% (58/94) |
|
59% (30/51) | +3pp |
mirage
|
50% (36/72) |
|
52% (16/31) | -2pp |
ancient
|
62% (69/112) |
|
60% (25/42) | +2pp |
dust2
|
62% (56/90) |
|
61% (25/41) | +1pp |
vertigo
|
— | · | 62% (5/8) |
Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database.
Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.
MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities
BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best
Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence
9z bans
anubis
42% WR
mirage
50% WR
FlyQuest bans
overpass
33% WR
nuke
41% WR
9z pick
dust2
50% — 9z favored
Decider
inferno
51% 9z
Decider
vertigo
FlyQuest pick
ancient
49% — FlyQuest favored
Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played
anubis
FlyQuest
overpass
9z
nuke
9z
inferno
even
mirage
even
ancient
even
dust2
even
9z on left ·
FlyQuest on right ·
Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map ·
Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining
Side