Astralis vs GamerLegion

T1 BO1 CS2 2026-06-06

Astralis Winner

1 : 0

Astralis wins

GamerLegion

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

Astralis 55% (prob 0.548)

Correct

Astralis GamerLegion

55% 45%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Map-pool Elo +0.106 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.104 Elo edge -0.097

Shadow bet: 4.0u @ 1.850 → 3.4u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Astralis	GamerLegion	Edge
anubis	0% (0/1)	48% (20/42)	-48pp
ancient	63% (59/93)	53% (46/86)	+10pp
mirage	40% (34/86)	48% (47/97)	-8pp
dust2	37% (19/52)	45% (13/29)	-8pp
nuke	57% (60/106)	52% (42/81)	+5pp
inferno	55% (44/80)	60% (52/86)	-5pp
overpass	67% (44/66)	66% (42/64)	+1pp
vertigo	51% (19/37)	51% (20/39)	0pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Astralis bans

dust2 37% WR

vertigo 51% WR

GamerLegion bans

mirage 48% WR

nuke 52% WR

Astralis pick

overpass

50% — Astralis favored

Decider

anubis

100% GamerLegion

Decider

ancient

54% Astralis

GamerLegion pick

inferno

52% — GamerLegion favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

anubis

100%

GamerLegion

ancient

54%

46%

even

mirage

45%

55%

GamerLegion

dust2

45%

55%

GamerLegion

nuke

52%

48%

even

inferno

48%

52%

even

overpass

50%

even

vertigo

50%

even

Astralis on left · GamerLegion on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Astralis WIN
MVP Staehr RIFLER	19	10	5	58%	111.7	76.5%	1.66	9.6
jabbi RIFLER	19	9	3	47%	105.8	70.6%	1.62	9.6
HooXi ENTRY	17	9	7	71%	92.4	70.6%	1.50	9.4
ryu	9	12	8	44%	70.1	64.7%	0.89	—
phzy AWP	8	11	3	25%	56.1	68.8%	0.83	9.7
GamerLegion
MVP PR	14	14	4	64%	108.9	58.8%	1.14	—
REZ RIFLER	8	12	6	38%	57.3	62.5%	0.77	9.5
Tauson RIFLER	9	14	1	44%	62.9	60.0%	0.73	9.5
Snax ENTRY	9	14	3	44%	59.4	52.9%	0.67	9.2
hypex AWP	6	13	3	50%	51.3	37.5%	0.41	9.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Astralis WIN
Staehr	19	10	5	58%	111.7	76.5%	1.66	9.6
jabbi	19	9	3	47%	105.8	70.6%	1.62	9.6
HooXi	17	9	7	71%	92.4	70.6%	1.50	9.4
ryu	9	12	8	44%	70.1	64.7%	0.89	—
phzy	8	11	3	25%	56.1	68.8%	0.83	9.7
GamerLegion
PR	14	14	4	64%	108.9	58.8%	1.14	—
REZ	8	12	6	38%	57.3	62.5%	0.77	9.5
Tauson	9	14	1	44%	62.9	60.0%	0.73	9.5
Snax	9	14	3	44%	59.4	52.9%	0.67	9.2
hypex	6	13	3	50%	51.3	37.5%	0.41	9.7

Teams

Players in this match

Staehr jabbi HooXi PR ryu phzy REZ Tauson Snax hypex