Lavked vs MANA — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-05

Lavked Winner

2 : 1

Lavked wins

MANA

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

Lavked 61% (prob 0.608)

Correct

Lavked MANA

61% 39%

Shadow bet: 9.6u @ 1.691 → 6.6u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Lavked	vs	MANA	Edge
ancient	92% (11/12)		38% (20/52)	+54pp
inferno	25% (2/8)		64% (21/33)	-39pp
nuke	64% (18/28)		29% (7/24)	+35pp
anubis	50% (5/10)		22% (2/9)	+28pp
overpass	33% (2/6)		43% (6/14)	-10pp
mirage	61% (22/36)		54% (31/57)	+7pp
dust2	58% (11/19)		56% (39/70)	+2pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Lavked bans

inferno 25% WR

overpass 33% WR

MANA bans

anubis 22% WR

nuke 29% WR

Lavked pick

ancient

71% — Lavked favored

Decider

mirage

53% Lavked

Decider

vertigo

MANA pick

dust2

49% — MANA favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

71%

29%

Lavked

inferno

28%

72%

MANA

nuke

69%

31%

Lavked

anubis

69%

31%

Lavked

overpass

43%

57%

MANA

mirage

53%

47%

even

dust2

51%

49%

even

Lavked on left · MANA on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Lavked WIN
MVP Djon8 RIFLER	68	54	13	60%	89.0	74.1%	1.27	7.6
xm1nd	66	59	19	36%	90.6	67.9%	1.19	—
sol	63	55	13	59%	78.0	67.9%	1.13	—
k4nfuz RIFLER	49	63	16	65%	68.7	64.2%	0.88	7.3
1NVISIBLE	46	71	22	54%	81.2	61.7%	0.82	—
MANA
MVP cerber RIFLER	64	54	23	58%	91.9	70.4%	1.23	4.1
BledarD	65	59	20	40%	97.6	63.0%	1.16	—
arbnorz	60	60	14	73%	82.2	69.1%	1.09	—
xonn1kk	54	60	24	52%	80.5	74.1%	1.07	—
ammar	58	59	16	55%	80.6	65.4%	1.05	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Lavked WIN
xm1nd	29	24	11	52%	90.3	66.7%	1.21	—
Djon	29	23	4	62%	86.3	66.7%	1.19	7.6
1NVISIBLE	26	30	15	35%	109.3	75.0%	1.18	—
k4nfuz-	22	22	4	64%	68.9	63.9%	0.96	7.3
sol	22	24	5	59%	65.1	63.9%	0.92	—
MANA
xonn1kk	27	25	13	52%	89.6	77.8%	1.23	—
BledarD	31	26	5	29%	98.4	52.8%	1.14	—
cerber	24	25	10	46%	86.1	63.9%	1.04	4.1
arbnorz	22	26	5	50%	65.7	63.9%	0.90	—
ammar	19	26	8	53%	71.0	58.3%	0.81	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Lavked WIN
sol	29	15	4	59%	114.3	87.5%	1.79	—
Djon	17	16	7	59%	79.1	79.2%	1.18	7.6
xm1nd	19	19	5	26%	80.0	66.7%	1.09	—
k4nfuz-	17	23	8	65%	73.6	66.7%	0.92	7.3
1NVISIBLE	10	22	4	100%	56.2	62.5%	0.59	—
MANA
BledarD	22	15	6	59%	106.3	75.0%	1.43	—
ammar	22	17	4	59%	86.6	75.0%	1.32	—
arbnorz	19	18	5	89%	87.4	79.2%	1.22	—
cerber	16	18	4	69%	80.0	70.8%	1.03	4.1
xonn1kk	13	21	3	38%	60.5	70.8%	0.79	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Lavked
Djon	22	15	2	59%	104.9	81.0%	1.52	7.6
xm1nd	18	16	3	22%	103.3	71.4%	1.26	—
sol	12	16	4	58%	58.7	52.4%	0.74	—
k4nfuz-	10	18	4	70%	62.8	61.9%	0.69	7.3
1NVISIBLE	10	19	3	60%	61.6	38.1%	0.48	—
MANA WIN
cerber	24	11	9	63%	115.2	81.0%	1.77	4.1
arbnorz	19	16	4	84%	104.6	66.7%	1.28	—
ammar	17	16	4	53%	90.1	66.7%	1.15	—
xonn1kk	14	14	8	64%	87.9	71.4%	1.12	—
BledarD	12	18	9	33%	86.0	66.7%	0.90	—

Teams

Players in this match

Djon8 cerber xm1nd BledarD sol arbnorz xonn1kk ammar k4nfuz 1NVISIBLE