Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

Johnny Speeds

1 : 2

100 Thieves wins

100 Thieves Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · Primary Prediction

Johnny Speeds 51% (prob 0.513)

Wrong

Johnny Speeds 100 Thieves

51% 49%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Schedule strength -0.166 Buy power +0.130 Elo edge -0.103

Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.957 → -1.0u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Johnny Speeds	100 Thieves	Edge
dust2	49% (39/79)	73% (19/26)	-24pp
inferno	55% (53/97)	72% (18/25)	-17pp
nuke	49% (41/83)	62% (15/24)	-13pp
anubis	53% (41/78)	40% (2/5)	+13pp
mirage	61% (97/159)	50% (7/14)	+11pp
ancient	60% (49/81)	68% (15/22)	-8pp
overpass	70% (46/66)	67% (2/3)	+3pp
vertigo	50% (3/6)	50% (5/10)	0pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Johnny Speeds bans

dust2 49% WR

nuke 49% WR

100 Thieves bans

anubis 40% WR

mirage 50% WR

Johnny Speeds pick

overpass

51% — Johnny Speeds favored

Decider

ancient

53% 100 Thieves

Decider

vertigo

50% Johnny Speeds

100 Thieves pick

inferno

57% — 100 Thieves favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

dust2

40%

60%

100 Thieves

inferno

43%

57%

100 Thieves

nuke

44%

56%

100 Thieves

anubis

57%

43%

Johnny Speeds

mirage

55%

45%

Johnny Speeds

ancient

47%

53%

even

overpass

51%

49%

even

vertigo

50%

even

Johnny Speeds on left · 100 Thieves on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Johnny Speeds
MVP jocab RIFLER	60	48	18	45%	99.5	80.0%	1.43	7.7
nawwk AWP	43	45	8	42%	79.8	61.8%	1.02	8.0
Lekr0	34	47	17	65%	74.3	60.7%	0.85	—
titulus RIFLER	39	55	15	44%	68.4	62.9%	0.84	3.8
HEAP	35	48	12	63%	61.4	57.4%	0.77	—
100 Thieves WIN
MVP sirah RIFLER	56	43	14	48%	98.7	75.0%	1.41	7.9
poiii RIFLER	57	43	16	58%	100.1	73.3%	1.38	8.0
rain	49	43	19	45%	90.0	79.6%	1.33	—
dev1ce	48	40	20	33%	82.9	67.2%	1.20	—
Ag1l	34	46	14	41%	67.4	66.1%	0.87	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Johnny Speeds WIN
jocab	29	11	6	41%	134.6	95.0%	2.18	7.7
nawwk	16	14	3	38%	90.4	68.4%	1.20	8.0
Lekr0	14	15	8	86%	97.4	65.0%	1.09	—
titulus	12	16	8	17%	68.6	76.2%	0.96	3.8
HEAP	8	14	2	75%	44.7	50.0%	0.55	—
100 Thieves
sirah	17	16	2	47%	88.8	63.2%	1.14	7.9
rain	15	15	2	60%	92.6	61.1%	1.09	—
dev1ce	13	14	7	38%	73.0	63.2%	0.99	—
poiii	13	17	6	62%	78.2	71.4%	0.97	8.0
Ag1l	10	16	5	50%	67.1	61.9%	0.76	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Johnny Speeds
jocab	14	17	5	57%	85.7	76.5%	1.10	7.7
HEAP	12	16	2	75%	74.7	61.1%	0.86	—
titulus	11	16	2	36%	53.6	58.8%	0.73	3.8
Lekr0	9	16	3	44%	67.2	58.8%	0.68	—
nawwk	5	17	3	60%	39.0	43.8%	0.23	8.0
100 Thieves WIN
sirah	20	8	8	50%	149.2	100.0%	2.33	7.9
poiii	21	9	6	43%	124.5	82.4%	1.88	8.0
rain	15	9	7	33%	91.3	85.7%	1.61	—
dev1ce	13	12	6	46%	74.7	70.6%	1.14	—
Ag1l	13	13	4	46%	76.7	72.2%	1.10	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Johnny Speeds
nawwk	22	14	2	41%	102.3	70.0%	1.49	8.0
jocab	17	20	7	41%	79.3	69.6%	1.03	7.7
HEAP	15	18	8	47%	65.4	60.9%	0.90	—
titulus	16	23	5	69%	78.8	54.2%	0.80	3.8
Lekr0	11	16	6	55%	56.3	57.9%	0.75	—
100 Thieves WIN
dev1ce	22	14	7	23%	97.8	68.2%	1.43	—
poiii	23	17	4	70%	102.2	68.2%	1.40	8.0
rain	19	19	10	42%	87.2	90.9%	1.34	—
sirah	19	19	4	47%	79.1	70.8%	1.11	7.9
Ag1l	11	17	5	27%	59.3	65.0%	0.77	—

Teams

Players in this match

jocab sirah poiii rain dev1ce nawwk Ag1l Lekr0 titulus HEAP