Johnny Speeds vs 1win — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-06

Johnny Speeds Winner

2 : 0

Johnny Speeds wins

1win

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-NEXUS v1 · Primary Prediction

1win 54% (prob 0.538)

Wrong

Johnny Speeds 1win

46% 54%

Why — Top Feature Drivers

Market price -0.258 Schedule strength -0.143 Pistol rounds +0.133

Shadow bet: 1.0u @ 1.562 → -1.0u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Johnny Speeds	1win	Edge
overpass	70% (46/66)	53% (29/55)	+17pp
dust2	49% (39/79)	64% (68/106)	-15pp
inferno	55% (53/97)	69% (47/68)	-14pp
ancient	60% (49/81)	47% (50/106)	+13pp
nuke	49% (41/83)	59% (19/32)	-10pp
vertigo	50% (3/6)	57% (20/35)	-7pp
anubis	53% (41/78)	57% (24/42)	-4pp
mirage	61% (97/159)	60% (60/100)	+1pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Johnny Speeds bans

dust2 49% WR

nuke 49% WR

1win bans

ancient 47% WR

overpass 53% WR

Johnny Speeds pick

mirage

50% — Johnny Speeds favored

Decider

anubis

52% 1win

Decider

vertigo

53% 1win

1win pick

inferno

56% — 1win favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

57%

43%

Johnny Speeds

dust2

43%

57%

1win

inferno

44%

56%

1win

ancient

56%

44%

Johnny Speeds

nuke

45%

55%

1win

vertigo

47%

53%

even

anubis

48%

52%

even

mirage

50%

even

Johnny Speeds on left · 1win on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Johnny Speeds WIN
MVP nawwk AWP	44	17	6	39%	130.0	77.8%	1.87	8.0
jocab RIFLER	36	24	10	61%	98.1	78.4%	1.47	7.7
HEAP	29	23	7	69%	92.7	73.5%	1.29	—
titulus RIFLER	29	25	14	48%	86.1	81.1%	1.28	3.8
Lekr0	26	26	19	65%	84.1	80.0%	1.22	—
1win
MVP lattykk AWP	27	29	5	63%	75.0	53.9%	0.91	8.9
oz1k	23	33	9	52%	76.9	63.9%	0.86	—
Qikert RIFLER	19	29	9	74%	66.4	58.3%	0.75	8.2
cronuss ENTRY	22	34	7	50%	81.1	51.4%	0.74	8.1
reyoz	19	36	10	63%	62.7	44.7%	0.54	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Johnny Speeds WIN
nawwk	28	11	4	25%	134.3	77.3%	1.91	8.0
jocab	22	15	8	50%	104.3	81.0%	1.55	7.7
Lekr0	16	17	14	56%	88.6	81.8%	1.22	—
titulus	15	16	4	40%	69.2	81.0%	1.10	3.8
HEAP	13	15	4	69%	88.8	72.2%	1.08	—
1win
cronuss	18	19	3	44%	87.8	63.6%	1.07	8.1
lattykk	16	15	2	63%	72.9	47.8%	0.91	8.9
Qikert	13	18	7	77%	72.3	69.6%	0.90	8.2
oz1k	12	19	7	42%	67.2	66.7%	0.81	—
reyoz	13	21	8	46%	64.5	52.2%	0.69	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Johnny Speeds WIN
nawwk	16	6	2	63%	123.3	78.6%	1.80	8.0
HEAP	16	8	3	69%	97.1	75.0%	1.54	—
titulus	14	9	10	57%	108.3	81.3%	1.52	3.8
jocab	14	9	2	79%	89.9	75.0%	1.37	7.7
Lekr0	10	9	5	80%	76.6	76.9%	1.20	—
1win
oz1k	11	14	2	64%	90.5	60.0%	0.94	—
lattykk	11	14	3	64%	78.1	62.5%	0.91	8.9
Qikert	6	11	2	67%	56.0	38.5%	0.49	8.2
reyoz	6	15	2	100%	60.0	33.3%	0.32	—
cronuss	4	15	4	75%	71.3	33.3%	0.26	8.1

Teams

Players in this match

nawwk jocab HEAP titulus Lekr0 lattykk oz1k Qikert cronuss reyoz