AM vs ex-RUBY — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-04

0 : 2

ex-RUBY wins

ex-RUBY Winner

CQ GESUS

1 model →

CQ-GESUS-APEX v3 · Primary Prediction

ex-RUBY 66% (prob 0.659)

Correct

AM ex-RUBY

34% 66%

Shadow bet: 16.2u @ 1.574 → 9.3u

CQ-GESUS Suite — 12 Models

TITAN ORACLE NEXUS PHANTOM MIRAGE SPECTER CIPHER CLUTCH UTILITY PISTOL SYNERGY

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	AM	vs	ex-RUBY	Edge
inferno	50% (10/20)		0% (0/1)	+50pp
nuke	37% (11/30)		62% (28/45)	-25pp
anubis	33% (2/6)		50% (6/12)	-17pp
dust2	55% (22/40)		66% (37/56)	-11pp
overpass	70% (16/23)		63% (17/27)	+7pp
mirage	52% (21/40)		55% (29/53)	-3pp
ancient	55% (22/40)		55% (22/40)	0pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

AM bans

anubis 33% WR

nuke 37% WR

ex-RUBY bans

mirage 55% WR

ancient 55% WR

AM pick

overpass

53% — AM favored

Decider

inferno

100% AM

Decider

vertigo

ex-RUBY pick

dust2

55% — ex-RUBY favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

100%

nuke

37%

63%

ex-RUBY

anubis

40%

60%

ex-RUBY

dust2

45%

55%

ex-RUBY

overpass

53%

47%

even

mirage

49%

51%

even

ancient

50%

even

AM on left · ex-RUBY on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
AM
MVP Altekz RIFLER	34	33	8	56%	89.7	62.8%	1.10	6.5
k1to ENTRY	27	33	6	63%	80.0	55.8%	0.87	5.5
Marix RIFLER	22	30	8	50%	60.0	62.8%	0.80	6.9
L00m1 AWP	22	31	7	50%	61.2	62.8%	0.79	6.8
myltsi RIFLER	17	34	10	41%	55.8	58.1%	0.61	6.5
ex-RUBY WIN
MVP H4SAN4TOR ENTRY	42	23	7	45%	100.4	79.1%	1.54	7.3
robo	37	25	13	30%	92.6	76.7%	1.38	—
YumsaN AWP	30	24	8	33%	75.7	83.7%	1.24	7.9
sh1nejezzz RIFLER	29	24	10	62%	70.5	69.8%	1.11	7.8
relaxxie	26	31	13	50%	78.6	69.8%	0.99	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
AM
Altekz	18	16	6	56%	99.7	61.9%	1.20	6.5
k1to	14	15	4	64%	85.3	66.7%	1.04	5.5
myltsi	9	15	4	44%	49.3	61.9%	0.68	6.5
L00m1	9	18	3	44%	49.2	57.1%	0.56	6.8
Marix	8	17	5	50%	54.1	52.4%	0.54	6.9
ex-RUBY WIN
H4SAN4TOR	24	11	5	46%	116.5	85.7%	1.79	7.3
robo	22	11	5	23%	109.7	85.7%	1.69	—
sh1nejezzz	14	10	5	57%	78.6	71.4%	1.18	7.8
YumsaN	11	12	3	45%	67.0	81.0%	1.03	7.9
relaxxie	11	16	6	45%	67.1	71.4%	0.87	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
AM
Marix	14	13	3	50%	65.7	72.7%	1.05	6.9
Altekz	16	17	2	56%	80.2	63.6%	1.01	6.5
L00m1	13	13	4	54%	72.6	68.2%	1.01	6.8
k1to	13	18	2	62%	74.9	45.5%	0.72	5.5
myltsi	8	19	6	38%	61.9	54.6%	0.54	6.5
ex-RUBY WIN
YumsaN	19	12	5	26%	84.0	86.4%	1.44	7.9
H4SAN4TOR	18	12	2	44%	85.1	72.7%	1.29	7.3
relaxxie	15	15	7	53%	89.6	68.2%	1.10	—
robo	15	14	8	40%	76.3	68.2%	1.09	—
sh1nejezzz	15	14	5	67%	62.8	68.2%	1.03	7.8

Teams

View team →

ex-RUBY

View team →

Players in this match

H4SAN4TOR robo YumsaN sh1nejezzz Altekz relaxxie k1to Marix L00m1 myltsi