Public Prediction Ledger

Every prediction is cryptographically hashed at the moment it is made. The hash is SHA-256 of MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|TEAM1_ID|TEAM2_ID|PROB_T1|PROB_T2|WINNER_ID. You can independently verify any prediction without trusting us. All 243 predictions shown newest first.

Linux/Mac: echo -n "MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|T1_ID|T2_ID|P1.6f|P2.6f|WINNER_ID" | sha256sum
Python: import hashlib; hashlib.sha256(b"...").hexdigest()
Windows: [System.Text.Encoding]::UTF8.GetBytes("...") | Get-FileHash -Algorithm SHA256 -InputStream ...
Probabilities are formatted to 6 decimal places. Pipe | separator. No spaces, no newline.
243 total predictions — page 2 of 10 (25 matches per page)
Jun 10 2026 14:00 match #2395173 3 models ✗ WRONG
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.223 PHANTOM +0.098 PHANTOM confidence -0.054
KOLESIE 53.2% 8513d9186e058c4d…bf109ff4
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.364 team1 elo dust2 -0.223 team1 elo nuke +0.212
KOLESIE 51.3% 8156707f29caf822…823e0acd
· ORACLE v1 AUC 0.7180
Elo edge -0.247 Map-pool Elo +0.161 Buy power +0.115
KOLESIE 61.8% 7487df50e59ad1d3…af52d87e
Jun 10 2026 14:00 match #2395120 4 models ✓ CORRECT
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.212 PHANTOM +0.132 PHANTOM confidence -0.054
Walczaki 53.2% 697701342c0d2e83…53bea2f4
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.489 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.452 Glicko2 rating +0.410
Walczaki 64.0% e37db079b5745455…8744ce46
· NEXUS v2
Market price +0.030 Map-pool Elo -0.354 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.107
INOX Division 54.7% 9b90c10e7777001e…e04f64af
· ORACLE v1 AUC 0.7180
Map-pool Elo -0.354 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.107 econ eco freq t1 -0.082
INOX Division 56.5% ad01db8a0830ac7b…0034fa3e
Jun 10 2026 11:00 match #2395119 4 models ✓ CORRECT
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.277 PHANTOM +0.224 PHANTOM confidence +0.063
SPARTA 57.7% 8c8e34aeac4b478b…bce3e0e5
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
Glicko2 rating +0.415 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.397 Tier-1 Elo -0.313
SPARTA 81.8% 911805fc64865471…87dab7a9
· NEXUS v2
Market price +0.120 econ defuse rate diff -0.216 Schedule strength -0.142
SPARTA 50.7% 688c129bd62a8b78…28da8ad8
· ORACLE v1 AUC 0.7180
econ defuse rate diff -0.216 Schedule strength -0.142 Map-pool Elo -0.097
Atreides 56.5% c3c9047d46ae97c1…f2a0a1f4
Jun 10 2026 11:00 match #2395172 4 models ✓ CORRECT
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.210 PHANTOM +0.139 Elo win prob +0.126
Ursa 55.6% 7b4ad8f6a1b3360f…ef863c1d
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
Tier-1 Elo -0.324 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.292 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.257
Ursa 64.0% 6cd6c4eb2b5d2922…c4e7b816
· NEXUS v2
Market price +0.087 Map-pool Elo +0.324 Elo edge -0.282
Ursa 67.2% 38df2d8600246df5…b57d084c
· ORACLE v1 AUC 0.7180
Map-pool Elo +0.324 Elo edge -0.282 Schedule strength +0.114
Ursa 61.8% 003d37ea8b00da4d…ad4e371d
Jun 10 2026 10:30 match #2394817 4 models ✓ CORRECT
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.225 PHANTOM +0.134 PHANTOM confidence -0.054
G2 Ares 55.6% 70d66107c00e124d…d72ec905
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.445 team2 elo inferno -0.319 Glicko2 rating +0.317
G2 Ares 64.0% f5d808001ac581d3…128650d1
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7180
Schedule strength -0.132 Map-pool Elo -0.095 econ eco freq diff -0.072
Young Ninjas 55.0% 6bcb05eef7fe936e…a0699d02
· NEXUS v1
Market price -0.015 Schedule strength -0.132 Map-pool Elo -0.095
Young Ninjas 55.9% 3f88490024de2059…9b5b45c0
Jun 10 2026 08:30 match #2395231 4 models ✓ CORRECT
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.629 PHANTOM +0.219 Elo win prob +0.067
Ding Cuts 64.8% 5210e9ea50949fb5…d8c10a2a
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
Glicko2 rating +0.377 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.330 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.282
Ding Cuts 71.3% 44f719ffee4ceff1…1731d2de
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7180
Elo edge -0.230 CT-side econ -0.194 Map-pool Elo +0.153
DXA 63.0% 3b15b673ce1a5ef3…d14900f7
· APEX v3 AUC 0.6575 Ding Cuts 67.3% f5984e84aaf78f75…eda953c0
Jun 10 2026 08:30 match #2395230 5 models ✗ WRONG
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean -0.299 PHANTOM +0.152 Elo win prob +0.038
Masked Regime 52.6% 64f0766423c9b466…29621641
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.345 opening kill rate diff -0.278 team1 elo nuke -0.219
Masked Regime 55.2% 108b674f86c2deb8…5ee1e098
· NEXUS v2
Market price +0.257 Map-pool Elo +0.303 Elo edge -0.166
Ground Zero 79.6% 9e27664926f98590…9b8a09d2
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7180
Map-pool Elo +0.303 Elo edge -0.166 Rest days +0.084
Ground Zero 61.8% 96946433dd04d814…6a8a980a
· APEX v3 AUC 0.6575 Ground Zero 62.2% 46cfd6c8f4d9a2fd…3cfef581
Jun 10 2026 08:10 match #2395171 3 models ✓ CORRECT
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.207 PHANTOM +0.133 PHANTOM confidence -0.054
SPARTA 55.6% 8d28e292f251a4bb…c83d6825
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
Glicko2 rating +0.412 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.325 Tier-1 Elo -0.323
SPARTA 64.0% 7a28427b6b81f06e…d06e4065
· ORACLE v1 AUC 0.7180
Elo edge -0.249 Map-pool Elo +0.205 Schedule strength -0.129
brazylijski luz 55.0% 38c04b11aef9b0ed…4b664352
Jun 10 2026 08:10 match #2395118 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean -0.283 Elo win prob +0.104 PHANTOM +0.027
Acend 53.5% bc3d46ba22fb0c2f…5f6249d6
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team1 elo dust2 -0.297 team2 glicko2 rating -0.270 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.247
Acend 61.1% 68375d80584ec312…4926561d
· ORACLE v1 AUC 0.7180
Map-pool Elo +0.349 Elo edge -0.342 Pistol rounds +0.160
ARCRED 66.3% 52c2d301878ac914…4775164c
Jun 10 2026 08:10 match #2394816 3 models ✓ CORRECT
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.373 PHANTOM +0.130 PHANTOM confidence -0.058
aAa 57.7% ce92de91494f101e…f3d2c482
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
Glicko2 rating +0.461 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.440 team1 pre patch wr -0.365
aAa 64.0% a74334dac63087a1…b76446a1
· ORACLE v1 AUC 0.7180
CT-side econ -0.166 Map-pool Elo -0.126 Buy power -0.122
RUSTEC 63.0% 2f963264a69426f8…ca544334
Jun 12 2026 16:00 match #2395268 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean -0.287 Elo win prob +0.039 PHANTOM +0.022
MASONIC 53.5% e4b1b7153ee353ae…565cefff
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team2 elo mirage -0.391 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.344 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.314
MASONIC 61.1% ead2e4f51136a45b…45a26435
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.451 team2 elo mirage -0.234 Schedule strength +0.184
MASONIC 50.2% 73c57fd25f081364…5b3f58e4
Jun 12 2026 16:00 match #2395267 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.367 Elo win prob -0.143 PHANTOM +0.107
XI 52.0% 65611240d0ebe22f…ee916c1f
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
Overpass Elo +0.301 opening kill rate diff -0.271 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.217
XI 64.0% dacbfa9952c1eb63…d2113c7c
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.310 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.196 team1 effective elo -0.195
XI 66.2% 7232c4c8cd2c29f4…69c1d098
Jun 12 2026 16:00 match #2395264 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean -0.197 Elo win prob -0.107 PHANTOM +0.031
STATE 53.5% 8408cf0d930eeb9f…64cfee7c
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.487 team2 elo overpass +0.439 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.433
STATE 61.1% ea6cff8b5f50c25a…28a610b4
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.564 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.308 team2 elo overpass +0.266
Sashi Academy 52.6% a3ed465fff9feb3a…61350895
Jun 12 2026 16:00 match #2395263 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.817 PHANTOM +0.229 PHANTOM confidence +0.064
Washed 70.4% b6786afa041c612c…fca08df8
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.367 Overpass Elo +0.281 team2 glicko2 rating -0.263
Washed 81.8% 1e6f953f4c481c40…fa431bd1
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
Schedule strength +0.174 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.166 Overpass Elo +0.164
Washed 76.5% 3f843d25bb6f31a1…6b16c3fb
Jun 12 2026 02:00 match #2395280 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.375 PHANTOM +0.128 PHANTOM confidence -0.058
Wanted Goons 57.7% 7fbcf127d0dbaf4a…01057acc
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team2 pre patch wr +0.461 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.380 opening kill rate diff -0.282
Wanted Goons 64.0% fdff1de32b8c3c6d…f74d0b14
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
team2 pre patch wr +0.237 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.198 Overpass Elo +0.185
Wanted Goons 65.7% 41fe0ca18ccb2ba5…c3e271e2
Jun 12 2026 01:00 match #2395278 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.817 PHANTOM +0.229 PHANTOM confidence +0.064
DETONATE 70.4% e392fccc0d403eb4…1e2daaea
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team2 pre patch wr +0.483 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.363 Overpass Elo +0.270
DETONATE 79.5% 95ec4b25e24df238…1d80d751
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
team2 pre patch wr +0.252 team2 pick rate ancient 90d +0.233 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.190
DETONATE 76.5% 6daf807cbe3a6933…68bf55f4
Jun 12 2026 01:00 match #2395277 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.146 PHANTOM +0.100 Elo win prob +0.038
Marsborne 52.0% 7a030c02040aaac6…de6d663d
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.294 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.278 team1 match hour local -0.269
Marsborne 51.3% 091907f3a2daf31e…66354ed2
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
team2 elo inferno -0.192 team2 wr when forced mirage -0.186 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.181
F5 50.2% abc361c7c2cd9da1…0f1590f7
Jun 12 2026 01:00 match #2395279 3 models PENDING
Model Pick Win Prob SHA-256 Hash
TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.244 PHANTOM +0.100 PHANTOM confidence -0.054
Club 333 55.6% 5201ec30f3079841…07cfdbc6
· PHANTOM v1 AUC 0.7625
opening kill rate diff -0.291 Overpass Elo +0.271 Inferno pick rate +0.207
Club 333 54.4% e4ae91f72d20ed3a…0cf630cd
· ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531
team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.192 Overpass Elo +0.173 team2 result volatility 90d +0.162
Club 333 65.7% 5da2ce1db6f921c4…2363e113