K27 vs SHISHKA — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2395327

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-19 FINAL

K27

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

SHISHKA

CHALLENGER

/// CQ-GESUS-TITAN v2 · PRIMARY

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL

K27 65% SHISHKA 35%

WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)

Ensemble mean +0.376

PHANTOM +0.130

PHANTOM confidence -0.058

SHADOW BET 9.1u @ 1.603 → +5.5u half-Kelly sizing · paper only

ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS

ORACLE v2 K27 66%

✓

PHANTOM v2 K27 64%

✓

TITAN v2 K27 65%

✓

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

65%

K27

MODEL ODDS

0.65

BET ODDS

1.603

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL

overpass 100% K27

ancient 80% K27

dust2 67% K27

nuke 33% K27

mirage 60% WR (3/5)

anubis 33% WR (1/3)

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

ancient 13 – 3 K27 took the map.

dust2 13 – 8 K27 took the map.

Side

K27 WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP xeedo RIFLER	39	28	11	62%	114.1	82.1%	1.54	8.5
kashl1d AWP	33	24	12	42%	93.1	71.8%	1.32	8.5
X5G7V ENTRY	27	26	14	48%	86.2	74.4%	1.16	7.9
fame	26	26	7	54%	74.5	66.7%	1.03	—
qw1nk1 RIFLER	21	26	9	52%	68.5	66.7%	0.90	8.4

SHISHKA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP danistzz	35	24	11	31%	112.4	82.1%	1.50	—
Norwi	26	28	5	42%	69.7	69.2%	1.00	—
yiksrezo	24	32	9	54%	74.1	59.0%	0.85	—
Krad	21	31	7	57%	69.9	61.5%	0.79	—
shalfey	19	28	6	68%	56.1	53.9%	0.69	—

K27 WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
xeedo	24	13	5	63%	141.8	94.1%	2.04	8.5
kashl1d	16	11	5	56%	95.8	76.5%	1.42	8.5
X5G7V	13	11	8	69%	111.5	70.6%	1.30	7.9
fame	12	14	5	42%	81.4	64.7%	1.00	—
qw1nk1	9	12	6	67%	71.4	70.6%	0.92	8.4

SHISHKA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
danistzz	18	13	6	28%	129.2	82.4%	1.62	—
Norwi	12	15	3	42%	79.8	70.6%	0.99	—
shalfey	11	12	1	73%	68.0	52.9%	0.85	—
yiksrezo	8	16	5	50%	62.0	64.7%	0.67	—
Krad	7	14	3	43%	63.4	58.8%	0.63	—

K27 WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
kashl1d	17	13	7	29%	90.9	68.2%	1.24	8.5
xeedo	15	15	6	60%	92.6	72.7%	1.14	8.5
X5G7V	14	15	6	29%	66.6	77.3%	1.05	7.9
fame	14	12	2	64%	69.3	68.2%	1.05	—
qw1nk1	12	14	3	42%	66.2	63.6%	0.88	8.4

SHISHKA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
danistzz	17	11	5	35%	99.4	81.8%	1.40	—
Norwi	14	13	2	43%	62.0	68.2%	1.00	—
yiksrezo	16	16	4	56%	83.4	54.6%	0.99	—
Krad	14	17	4	64%	75.0	63.6%	0.92	—
shalfey	8	16	5	63%	46.8	54.6%	0.56	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = K27 · Magenta = SHISHKA. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

xeedo danistzz kashl1d X5G7V fame Norwi qw1nk1 yiksrezo Krad shalfey