T3 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-14
FINAL
fnatic
CHALLENGER
1
:
2
SERIES COMPLETE
Alliance
WINNER
/// CQ-GESUS-TITAN v2 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
fnatic 63%
Alliance 37%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean
+0.210
PHANTOM
+0.138
Elo win prob
+0.126
SHADOW BET
9.4u @ 1.645 → -9.4u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2
Alliance
50%
✓
PHANTOM v2
fnatic
64%
✗
TITAN v2
fnatic
63%
✗
NEXUS v2
Alliance
62%
✓
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
63%
fnatic
MODEL ODDS
0.63
BET ODDS
1.645
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
overpass
0% fnatic
nuke
65% fnatic
inferno
27% fnatic
ancient
31% fnatic
dust2
58% fnatic
mirage
57% fnatic
anubis
54% fnatic
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
ancient
6 – 13
Alliance took the map.
anubis
4 – 13
Alliance took the map.
dust2
19 – 17
fnatic took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.
TEAMS
PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH