MATCHES / #2395319
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-14 FINAL
Nexus
Nexus
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Alliance
Alliance
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Nexus 64% Alliance 36%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.375
PHANTOM +0.128
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
SHADOW BET 11.2u @ 1.609 → -11.2u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Nexus 66%
PHANTOM v2 Nexus 64%
TITAN v2 Nexus 64%
NEXUS v2 Nexus 55%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

64%
Nexus
MODEL ODDS
0.64
BET ODDS
1.609

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
ancient 0% Nexus
nuke 0% Nexus
inferno 27% Nexus
mirage 64% Nexus
overpass 59% Nexus
dust2 41% Nexus
anubis 47% Nexus
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
ancient 1 – 13 Alliance took the map.
dust2 3 – 13 Alliance took the map.
overpass 13 – 9 Nexus took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.