MATCHES / #2395317
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-14 FINAL
BASEMENT BOYS
BASEMENT BOYS
CHALLENGER
0 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Alliance
Alliance
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
BASEMENT BOYS 81% Alliance 19%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.816
PHANTOM +0.229
PHANTOM confidence +0.064
SHADOW BET 12.8u @ 1.304 → -12.8u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 BASEMENT BOYS 76%
PHANTOM v2 BASEMENT BOYS 82%
TITAN v2 BASEMENT BOYS 81%
NEXUS v2 BASEMENT BOYS 67%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

81%
BASEMENT BOYS
MODEL ODDS
0.81
BET ODDS
1.304

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
nuke 27% BASEMENT BOYS
ancient 37% BASEMENT BOYS
inferno 43% BASEMENT BOYS
mirage 54% BASEMENT BOYS
anubis 47% BASEMENT BOYS
dust2 51% BASEMENT BOYS
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
nuke 4 – 13 Alliance took the map.
inferno 7 – 13 Alliance took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.