aimclub vs 6666 — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2395297

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-13 FINAL

aimclub

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

6666

CHALLENGER

/// CQ-GESUS-TITAN v2 · PRIMARY

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL

aimclub 28% 6666 72%

WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)

Ensemble mean -0.358

PHANTOM -0.208

PHANTOM confidence -0.025

SHADOW BET 10.9u @ 1.451 → -10.9u half-Kelly sizing · paper only

ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS

ORACLE v2 6666 62%

✗

PHANTOM v2 6666 74%

✗

TITAN v2 6666 72%

✗

NEXUS v2 6666 56%

✗

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

28%

aimclub

MODEL ODDS

0.28

BET ODDS

1.451

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL

mirage 30% aimclub

inferno 100% aimclub

ancient 54% aimclub

nuke 33% WR (1/3)

dust2 42% WR (8/19)

anubis 62% WR (5/8)

overpass 40% WR (2/5)

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

ancient 13 – 10 aimclub took the map.

inferno 13 – 9 aimclub took the map.

Side

aimclub WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP ERSIN RIFLER	37	27	12	62%	86.6	71.1%	1.28	1.9
RoberttMP	38	33	18	68%	103.7	66.7%	1.26	—
XELLOW	33	23	7	48%	83.4	68.9%	1.21	—
zewts RIFLER	30	24	9	73%	86.8	68.9%	1.15	1.5
waZz	19	30	11	42%	57.4	57.8%	0.70	—

6666

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP skcH	29	27	11	62%	84.3	71.1%	1.11	—
fix	28	32	10	61%	82.9	62.2%	0.96	—
m4d4ra666	29	32	7	69%	70.1	64.4%	0.95	—
auth0ri	23	31	9	52%	64.7	55.6%	0.77	—
rickangel	26	35	3	54%	66.4	53.3%	0.76	—

aimclub WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ERSIN	22	15	3	64%	89.3	65.2%	1.32	1.9
RoberttMP	19	18	10	58%	105.0	78.3%	1.31	—
XELLOW	15	13	2	67%	75.2	65.2%	1.05	—
waZz	14	14	7	50%	76.5	65.2%	1.01	—
zewts	10	14	5	70%	69.6	65.2%	0.83	1.5

6666

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
skcH	18	13	5	61%	97.7	82.6%	1.37	—
fix	17	16	7	35%	94.5	69.6%	1.17	—
m4d4ra666	14	16	4	50%	68.0	65.2%	0.93	—
rickangel	13	18	2	69%	71.4	56.5%	0.78	—
auth0ri	10	17	5	60%	62.0	52.2%	0.64	—

aimclub WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
zewts	20	10	4	75%	104.8	72.7%	1.49	1.5
XELLOW	18	10	5	33%	92.0	72.7%	1.37	—
ERSIN	15	12	9	60%	83.7	77.3%	1.23	1.9
RoberttMP	19	15	8	79%	102.3	54.6%	1.21	—
waZz	5	16	4	20%	37.4	50.0%	0.37	—

6666

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
m4d4ra666	15	16	3	87%	72.3	63.6%	0.97	—
auth0ri	13	14	4	46%	67.5	59.1%	0.90	—
skcH	11	14	6	64%	70.3	59.1%	0.84	—
fix	11	16	3	100%	70.8	54.6%	0.74	—
rickangel	13	17	1	38%	61.1	50.0%	0.73	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = aimclub · Magenta = 6666. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

ERSIN RoberttMP XELLOW zewts skcH fix m4d4ra666 auth0ri rickangel waZz