MATCHES / #2395289
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-14 FINAL
Festina Lente
Festina Lente
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Iowa Stormboar
Iowa Stormboar
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Festina Lente 59% Iowa Stormboar 41%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.210
PHANTOM +0.134
PHANTOM confidence -0.054
SHADOW BET 7.1u @ 1.723 → -7.1u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Festina Lente 53%
PHANTOM v2 Festina Lente 64%
TITAN v2 Festina Lente 59%
NEXUS v2 Festina Lente 54%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

59%
Festina Lente
MODEL ODDS
0.59
BET ODDS
1.723

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL
mirage 75% Festina Lente
ancient 0% Festina Lente
dust2 75% Festina Lente
nuke 47% Festina Lente
anubis 50% Festina Lente
overpass 100% WR (1/1)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
nuke 8 – 13 Iowa Stormboar took the map.
ancient 3 – 13 Iowa Stormboar took the map.
mirage 13 – 4 Festina Lente took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.